ASC Riadh - Widad Arafat prediction 21 January 2026

On January 21, 2026, ASC Riadh hosts Widad Arafat in a Mauritania Division 2 clash. Our ASC Riadh vs Widad Arafat prediction identifies ASC Riadh as the narrow favorite with a 38% win probability, though the draw is also a strong possibility.

Team Form

ASC Riadh's last five matches show a mixed record: W, L, L, W, D. Most recently, on May 21, they secured a 0-1 away win against Star Arafat, followed by a 1-2 home loss to FC Ways on May 10. Their home form has seen one win and one loss in the last two outings.

Widad Arafat's recent form pattern is L, D, W, L, W. Their last match on May 21 was a 1-0 away loss at Dar El Barka. They drew 0-0 at home with Star Arafat on May 9. Their away form shows one win and one loss in the last two trips.

Head-to-Head Record

The two sides have met twice before in Division 2. ASC Riadh holds the edge with 1 win, while 1 match ended in a draw. Widad Arafat is yet to record a victory. The most recent encounter on January 21, 2026, finished 1-1 at Widad Arafat. The previous meeting on June 20, 2025, saw ASC Riadh win 0-3 away.

League Table Positions

Both ASC Riadh and Widad Arafat compete in the Mauritania Division 2. The provided data does not include exact current points or positions, but based on the recent results, the teams appear closely matched in the middle of the pack.

Win Probability: ASC Riadh or Widad Arafat?

Without betting odds available to anchor the calculation, we estimate probabilities from the match data. The head-to-head record strongly favors ASC Riadh, who are unbeaten in two meetings (1 win, 1 draw). Home advantage also tilts the scales slightly toward the hosts. However, both teams show inconsistent recent form.

ASC Riadh has a 38% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and Widad Arafat has a 27% chance. The total equals 100%. The high draw probability reflects the tight contest and the 1-1 result in their latest H2H meeting.

Odds & Match Prediction

No pre-match odds are available for this fixture. Based solely on the stats, bookmakers would likely see ASC Riadh as a slight favorite. The form data suggests both teams struggle for consistency, making the draw market particularly interesting.

ASC Riadh vs Widad Arafat prediction: the most likely outcome is a low-scoring draw or a narrow win for the home side. The H2H dominance and home pitch give ASC Riadh the edge in a match where both teams will likely focus on defensive solidity.