CD Estrella Roja - Arsenal Roatan prediction 21 March 2026
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Arsenal Roatan vs CD Estrella Roja prediction for the Liga de Ascenso match on March 21, 2026. Based on head-to-head and recent form, Arsenal Roatan has a 55% chance to win, with the draw at 25% and CD Estrella Roja at 20%.
Team Form
Arsenal Roatan's last five matches show a record of three wins, one draw, and one defeat (L-W-D-W-W). Their most recent outing was a 1-2 home loss to Deportes Savio on April 19, but before that they secured a 1-0 win over Meluca, a 1-1 draw with Pumas FC, and back-to-back wins over San Juan Huracan (3-1 and 3-0). The home side has been scoring consistently, with at least one goal in four of those five matches.
CD Estrella Roja's last five results are dominated by draws: four draws and one win (D-D-W-D-D). Their only victory in that run was a 4-0 away win at Meluca on February 15, while the other four matches all ended 1-1 or 0-0. The away side is defensively solid but has struggled to turn draws into wins.
Head-to-Head Record
The two previous meetings between Arsenal Roatan and CD Estrella Roja both took place at this venue. Arsenal Roatan won 1-0 on August 10, 2025, and the match on February 9, 2025, ended 1-1. The overall head-to-head record stands at one win for Arsenal Roatan, one draw, and zero wins for CD Estrella Roja. The home side has never lost to this opponent.
Win Probability: Arsenal Roatan or CD Estrella Roja?
Using the available form and head-to-head data, we estimate the following win probabilities:
- Arsenal Roatan win: 55%
- Draw: 25%
- CD Estrella Roja win: 20%
Arsenal Roatan is the clear favourite. The home side has a superior recent form with three wins in five, plus a perfect head-to-head record at home (one win, one draw). CD Estrella Roja's form is built on draws, which raises the chance of a stalemate, but their lack of wins against this opponent and the away disadvantage lower their chances of an outright victory.
Odds & Match Prediction
No bookmaker odds are currently available for this fixture. However, based on the stats, Arsenal Roatan is the expected winner. CD Estrella Roja's ability to draw away matches adds some uncertainty, so a tight encounter is likely. Our match prediction is a home win, with a 1-0 or 2-1 scoreline a realistic outcome.
Arsenal Roatan vs CD Estrella Roja โ FAQ
- Who will win Arsenal Roatan vs CD Estrella Roja?
- Arsenal Roatan has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and CD Estrella Roja has a 20% chance. The home side is the favourite based on recent form and head-to-head record.
- What is the win probability for Arsenal Roatan?
- Arsenal Roatan has a 55% chance to win. This is supported by three wins in their last five matches and an unbeaten home record against CD Estrella Roja (one win, one draw).
- When is the Arsenal Roatan vs CD Estrella Roja match?
- The match is on March 21, 2026, at 01:00 UTC. It is a Liga de Ascenso fixture in Honduras.
- What are the odds for the match?
- No odds are currently listed for this match. The 1X2 market is selected, but bookmakers have not yet released prices. Check back closer to kickoff for updates.