Arezzo Women - Freedom Women prediction 15 February 2026

Arezzo Women vs Freedom Women prediction for the Serie B Women match on February 15, 2026, at 13:30. Based on recent form and head-to-head data, Freedom Women enter as slight favorites with a 40% win probability, while Arezzo Women have a 30% chance and the draw stands at 30%.

Team Form

Arezzo Women come into this match with a mixed run of results: W, L, D, L, W in their last five. Their most recent outing was a 3-2 away win over Res Roma Women on May 17. Before that, they suffered a 3-0 defeat at Como 1907 Women and a 1-1 draw at Venezia Women. At home, they lost 1-2 to Brescia Women but bounced back with a 3-0 victory against Hellas Verona Women. Two wins, two losses, and one draw in five games show inconsistency.

Freedom Women have been slightly more consistent: W, L, W, D, W over the same period. They secured a 2-0 away win at Trastevere Calcio ASD Women on May 17, after a 3-0 loss at San Marino Academy Women. They then thrashed Brescia Women 5-1 at home, drew 2-2 away at Bologna Women, and beat Frosinone Women 2-1 at home. With three wins in five, their attacking firepower is evident.

Head-to-Head Record

The only previous meeting between these sides ended in a 1-1 draw. That match, played on the same date this season, saw Arezzo Women host Freedom Women and share the points. The record stands at 0 home wins, 1 draw, and 0 away wins.

Win Probability: Arezzo Women or Freedom Women?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Arezzo Women 30%, draw 30%, Freedom Women 40%. The home advantage gives Arezzo a boost, but Freedom Women’s superior recent form (three wins vs. two) and their ability to score on the road tip the scales. The head-to-head draw suggests a tight contest, but the visitors’ extra edge in attack makes them the more likely winners.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ odds for this fixture are not available in the current dataset. However, based on the statistical analysis, Freedom Women are the predicted winners. The lack of clear odds reinforces the balanced nature of the match, but the numbers point to a narrow away victory. A 1-1 draw remains a very plausible outcome given the H2H history.