Persenga Nganjuk - Arek Suroboyo prediction 11 December 2025

The Arek Suroboyo vs Persenga Nganjuk prediction for this Liga 4 clash on December 11, 2025, at 06:00 UTC sees Persenga Nganjuk as the favorite with a 55% win probability. Arek Suroboyo enter the match with poor home form, while Persenga have looked strong on the road.

Team Form

Arek Suroboyo have struggled at home lately. Their last three home matches in Liga 4 ended in a 2-2 draw with Blitar Poetra FC, an 8-1 defeat to Deltras Raya Sidoarjo, and a 1-0 loss to Persikoba Batu. That form line (D, L, L) shows just one point from a possible nine and a defence that conceded ten goals in three games.

Persenga Nganjuk come into the fixture with more balanced results. Across their last five matches in all venues they recorded two wins, two losses, and a draw. Crucially, both wins came away from home: 4-1 at MRC Bulukumba and 2-1 at Mataram Utama. Their only clean sheet in that run was a 0-0 home draw with Semen Padang. Losses to PSN Ngada (0-3) and Unaaha (1-2) both happened at home, suggesting they are actually more dangerous on their travels.

Head-to-Head Record

There are no previous meetings between Arek Suroboyo and Persenga Nganjuk. The head-to-head record stands at 0 wins for the home side, 0 draws, and 0 away wins. This makes the encounter difficult to gauge purely on historical data, but current form heavily favours the visitors.

League Table Positions

Detailed league standings for Liga 4 are not available in the supplied data, so a direct comparison of points or position is not possible. However, the recent results of both teams — especially Arek’s defensive frailties — point to a gap in performance levels that is unlikely to be bridged by home advantage alone.

Win Probability: Arek Suroboyo or Persenga Nganjuk?

Based on all available statistics — team form, the away results of Persenga, and Arek’s weak home displays — we calculate the outcome probabilities as follows:

• Arek Suroboyo win: 20%
• Draw: 25%
• Persenga Nganjuk win: 55%

The lack of head-to-head history and missing league table data introduce some uncertainty, but Persenga’s two convincing away wins in their last five outings are the strongest indicator. Arek Suroboyo have lost two of their last three at home and conceded heavily, making an away victory the most likely outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

No odds were available in the data feed for this fixture, so we cannot quote bookmaker prices. Nevertheless, the stats point clearly to a Persenga Nganjuk win. The combination of Arek’s poor home form and Persenga’s impressive away performances suggests the visitors should be able to claim all three points. A correct score prediction is risky without more detailed underlying numbers, but backing Persenga to win is the most logical betting angle.