Alashkert FC - Ararat Yerevan prediction 14 April 2026

Our Ararat Yerevan vs Alashkert FC prediction answers who will win this Premier League clash on Apr 14 at 11:00. Based on the latest team form, head-to-head record, and league table positions, Alashkert FC is the clear favourite with a 75% win probability.

Team Form

Ararat Yerevan come into this match in poor shape. Their last five results are D, L, L, W, L, with the only victory coming away at Shirak (0-2). Defeats against FC Noah (8-3), Urartu Banants Yerevan FC (0-1) and Ararat-Armenia FC (4-0) highlight their defensive issues.

Alashkert FC are enjoying a much better run, with recent form reading W, W, W, D, D. They secured three consecutive wins over Shirak (2-0), Van Charentsavan (0-1) and Gandzasar Kapan (3-1), then recorded draws at Bkma Yerevan (2-2) and at home to FC Noah (1-1).

Head-to-Head Record

Historically, this fixture has been dominated by Alashkert FC. In 59 overall meetings, Ararat Yerevan have won 13, there have been 4 draws, and Alashkert have claimed victory 42 times. The most recent five encounters: Alashkert 2-0 Ararat (Apr 2026), Ararat 0-0 Alashkert (Feb 2026), Alashkert 3-0 Ararat (Aug 2025), Ararat 3-2 Alashkert (Apr 2025), and Alashkert 0-1 Ararat (Mar 2025).

League Table Positions

Alashkert FC sit 3rd in the Premier League with 53 points from 27 matches (16 wins, 5 draws, 6 losses). They have scored 42 goals and conceded 23. Ararat Yerevan are 9th with just 13 points from 27 games (3 wins, 4 draws, 20 losses), a goal difference of 21:63. The massive 40-point gap and contrasting home/away records further underline the visitors’ superiority.

Win Probability: Ararat Yerevan or Alashkert FC?

We calculate the outcome chances as follows: Ararat Yerevan win – 10%, draw – 15%, Alashkert FC win – 75% (total 100%). This estimation is based on the current form (home: D,L,L,W,L vs away: W,W,W,D,D), the one-sided head-to-head record (42 away wins for Alashkert out of 59 meetings), and the huge league table gap. Alashkert are far more likely to take all three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds data is not available for this fixture. Nevertheless, our analysis points strongly to an Alashkert FC victory. Based on the stats, bookmakers would see Alashkert as a heavy favourite. Our final Ararat Yerevan vs Alashkert FC prediction is an away win.