Antofagasta - Deportes Concepcion prediction 23 November 2025

Antofagasta vs Deportes Concepcion prediction for the Primera B match on Nov 23, 2025 at 15:00. According to our analysis, Antofagasta has a 45% chance to claim victory, making them the favorites. Read on for detailed betting tips, team form, head-to-head record, and win probability.

Team Form

Antofagasta

Antofagasta's last five matches have produced only one win, alongside three draws and one defeat. Their most recent result was a 0-0 draw at home against Magallanes on Jun 07. Before that, they lost 1-0 away to Curico Unido on Jun 01, followed by consecutive 1-1 draws against Deportes Santa Cruz (May 24) and San Marcos De Arica (May 17). The only victory in this run came on May 10, a comfortable 3-1 home win over Cd San Luis DE Quillota.

At home across the season, Antofagasta have been solid: 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss from 7 matches, scoring 12 and conceding just 5. That home strength is a key factor for this prediction.

Deportes Concepcion

Deportes Concepcion's recent away form is a mixed bag of three wins and two losses in their last five matches. They started with a 1-0 win at Palestino on Apr 24, then lost 2-0 at home to CD Everton Vina del Mar on May 18 (their only home fixture in that sequence), but bounced back with a 2-0 win at home against Huachipato on May 24. On the road again, they lost 2-1 at Universidad de Chile on May 30, but then beat Deportes Limache 3-2 away on Jun 14. This pattern of alternating results suggests they can beat anyone but lack consistency.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last three meetings between these sides, the record is perfectly balanced: one win for Antofagasta, one for Deportes Concepcion, and one draw. The most recent clash before this match was on Nov 18, 2025, when Deportes Concepcion won 2-1 at home. Earlier, they played out a 0-0 draw on Jul 19, 2025, and Antofagasta triumphed 3-1 at home on Mar 02, 2025. So at this venue, Antofagasta have a clear edge with a win and a draw from two previous H2H matches at home.

League Table Positions

Antofagasta sit 5th in the Primera B overall standings with 23 points from 15 matches (6 wins, 5 draws, 4 losses). At home, they rank 6th with 14 points from 7 fixtures. Deportes Concepcion, however, do not appear in the current Primera B table, which limits direct positional comparison. This absence suggests they may be competing in a different division, though they are still capable of competing well as shown by recent away results.

Win Probability: Antofagasta or Deportes Concepcion?

Based on all available data—home record, H2H history, and recent form—we calculate the win probabilities as follows:

• Antofagasta win: 45%
• Draw: 30%
• Deportes Concepcion win: 25%

Antofagasta’s solid home form (4 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss) and their positive H2H record at home (1 win, 1 draw) give them the edge. However, their recent draw-heavy pattern and Deportes Concepcion's ability to pick up away wins mean the draw is a significant probability. Deportes Concepcion have the quality to cause an upset, but the numbers clearly point to the home side as the most likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmaker odds were not available at the time of writing. Nevertheless, using form and stats, our prediction is that Antofagasta are the more probable winner, but a draw is a serious possibility. For betting tips, the double chance on Antofagasta or Draw looks a sensible approach. Expect a tight contest with the home side enjoying more possession and the better chances.