Kayserispor - Antalyaspor prediction 22 February 2026

Antalyaspor vs Kayserispor prediction for the Super League clash on February 22, 2026 at 10:30. Home side Antalyaspor enters as the marginal favorite with a 40% win probability, while Kayserispor has a 30% chance and the draw stands at 30%. The match kicks off in the Turkish top flight, and all key stats point to a tight contest.

Team Form

Antalyaspor come into this match with just one win in their last five outings (W-L-D-L-L). That solitary victory came at home against Kocaelispor (1-0) on May 17. Defeats to Galatasaray (4-2), Goztepe (2-0) and Konyaspor (0-2) and a goalless draw with Alanyaspor underline their struggles. At home they have managed one win, one draw and one loss in the most recent three.

Kayserispor show slightly better recent form with two wins, one draw and two losses in the same period (W-L-D-W-L). They beat Konyaspor 2-1 and Caykur Rizespor 2-0 at home, drew 1-1 with Eyupspor, but lost away to Alanyaspor (3-1) and Gaziantep FK (3-0). Away from home they have lost both recent trips without scoring, a clear weakness.

Head-to-Head Record

Over the last 30 meetings, Kayserispor lead with 13 wins to Antalyaspor's 8, with 9 draws. Excluding the most recent fixture, the past four clashes have been evenly split: Antalyaspor won 2-0 at home in December 2024, Kayserispor won 3-1 at home in May 2025, and two draws (1-1 in September 2025 and 1-1 in January 2024). History suggests a close game where neither side dominates.

Win Probability: Antalyaspor or Kayserispor?

Based on the available data — form, head-to-head record and the home/away factor — we calculate the following outcome probabilities:

• Antalyaspor win: 40%
• Draw: 30%
• Kayserispor win: 30%

Antalyaspor's home advantage nudges them ahead despite poor overall results. Kayserispor's dreadful away form (two defeats, no goals scored) offsets their slightly stronger recent record. The draw is a realistic option given the balanced H2H and both teams' inconsistency.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this fixture are not listed in the provided data. In the absence of market odds, our prediction relies purely on statistical indicators. Antalyaspor look the most likely winner, but the margin is slim. A low-scoring affair is probable, and the 1-1 draw or a narrow 1-0 home win are the most plausible scorelines. Based on the stats, we predict Antalyaspor to have the slight edge but with no high-confidence outcome.