Anguiano - Pena Balsamaiso prediction 19 April 2026

Anguiano vs Pena Balsamaiso prediction for 19 April 2026 in the Spanish Tercera Federacion. Based on current form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, Anguiano are clear favourites with a 65% win probability, while the draw sits at 25% and Pena Balsamaiso have just a 10% chance.

Team Form

Anguiano’s last five matches show a pattern of W-D-W-D-L – two wins, two draws, and one defeat. They have been reasonably consistent, picking up points in most outings. Pena Balsamaiso, on the other hand, are in dreadful form with L-L-L-L-L in their last five – five straight losses without a single point. Their defensive fragility and lack of attacking threat are major concerns heading into this fixture.

Head-to-Head Record

The previous four meetings between these sides (excluding this match) give Anguiano a clear edge: 2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss. The most recent encounter on 13 December 2025 saw Anguiano win 1-0 away. Before that, Anguiano cruised to a 4-0 home victory in February 2024. The teams played out an incredible 5-5 draw in October 2023, and Pena Balsamaiso’s only recent success came with a 2-0 home win in February 2023. The head-to-head trend firmly supports the home side.

Win Probability: Anguiano or Pena Balsamaiso?

We estimate the following win probabilities:

• Anguiano win – 65%
• Draw – 25%
• Pena Balsamaiso win – 10%

These figures are based on the huge contrast in recent form (two wins in five vs five straight losses), Anguiano’s superior head-to-head record (2-1-1 in the last four), and the fact that the match is played at Anguiano’s home ground. All evidence points to a strong likelihood of a home victory.

Match Prediction

Taking all the available stats into account, Anguiano are expected to dominate. Pena Balsamaiso look incapable of stopping their losing streak, and Anguiano should have far too much quality. A comfortable 2-0 or 3-1 home win is the most likely outcome.