Andijan - Surkhon Termez prediction 18 July 2026
Andijan
Surkhon Termez
Lokomotiv Farm TashkentAndijanAndijanFarDu FerganaHavokandAndijanAndijanNasaf QarshiShurtan GuzarAndijanAndijanBarkamol AvlodXorazm FK UrganchAndijanAndijanDinamo SamarqandAndijanSementchi KuvasoyBunyodkorAndijanFK Kokand 1912AndijanNavbahor NamanganAndijanAndijanAGMK OlmaliqAndijanNavbahor NamanganNasaf QarshiAndijanTuran YaypanSurkhon TermezSurkhon TermezPakhtakorSurkhon TermezPakhtakorSogdianaSurkhon TermezSurkhon TermezMashal MuborakSurkhon TermezQizilqum ZarafshonNavbahor NamanganSurkhon TermezAGMK OlmaliqSurkhon TermezSurkhon TermezFK BuxoroNasaf QarshiSurkhon TermezSurkhon TermezBunyodkorSurkhon TermezNeftchiLokomotiv Farm TashkentSurkhon TermezRotor VolgogradSurkhon TermezShinnik YaroslavlSurkhon Termez| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.72 | 3.70 | 5.55 | |
| 1.67 | 2.10 | 5.00 | |
| 1.65 | 2.10 | 5.50 | |
| 1.65 | 2.05 | 5.35 | |
| 1.65 | 2.15 | 5.25 | |
| 1.63 | 2.15 | 4.80 |
Surkhon TermezAndijanAndijanSurkhon TermezAndijanSurkhon TermezSurkhon TermezAndijanAndijanSurkhon TermezSurkhon TermezAndijanSurkhon TermezAndijanAndijanSurkhon TermezSurkhon TermezAndijanAndijanSurkhon TermezAndijanSurkhon TermezSurkhon TermezAndijanAndijanSurkhon TermezAndijanSurkhon TermezAndijanSurkhon TermezSurkhon TermezAndijanSurkhon TermezAndijan| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Neftchi | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 27:4 | +23 | 31 |
| 2 |  Pakhtakor | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | +10 | 27 |
| 3 |  Navbahor Namangan | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:11 | +5 | 20 |
| 4 |  FK Buxoro | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:13 | +3 | 20 |
| 5 |  AGMK Olmaliq | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:16 | +1 | 19 |
| 6 |  Bunyodkor | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 14:14 | 0 | 19 |
| 7 |  Lokomotiv | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 |  Nasaf Qarshi | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:12 | +3 | 17 |
| 9 | Andijan | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16:11 | +5 | 16 |
| 10 |  Xorazm FK Urganch | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 13 |
| 11 |  Qizilqum Zarafshon | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 13 |
| 12 |  Sogdiana | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21:25 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 | Surkhon Termez | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 12 |
| 14 |  Dinamo Samarqand | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:21 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 |  FK Kokand 1912 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 11 |
| 16 |  Mashal Muborak | 12 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5:21 | -16 | 3 |
Andijan vs Surkhon Termez Prediction (Jul 18, 2026)
Andijan vs Surkhon Termez prediction for the Super League clash on Jul 18, 2026, at 15:00 at Bobur Arena. Our analysis gives Andijan a 55% chance to win, with the draw at 25% and Surkhon Termez at 20%. Bookmakers also see the hosts as clear favorites.
Team Form
Andijan's recent form (last 5 matches): L, W, W, D, W. They suffered a 2-1 away loss to Lokomotiv Farm Tashkent but bounced back with a 5-1 home win over FarDu Fergana. In the Cup, they crushed Havokand 8-1 away, drew 1-1 at home with Nasaf Qarshi, and beat Shurtan Guzar 3-1 away. That's three wins, one draw, and one loss, with 18 goals scored in those five games.
Surkhon Termez's last five: W, W, D, L, W. They won 2-1 away at Turan Yaypan (Cup), beat Pakhtakor 2-0 at home (Cup), drew 1-1 at home with Pakhtakor in the league, lost 5-2 away to Sogdiana, and edged Mashal Muborak 2-1 at home. So also three wins, one draw, one loss, showing decent form.
Head-to-Head Record
In 17 previous meetings, Andijan have won 4, Surkhon Termez 8, with 5 draws. The last five encounters:
- Oct 27, 2025: Surkhon Termez 4-0 Andijan
- May 23, 2025: Andijan 2-1 Surkhon Termez
- Apr 17, 2025 (Cup): Andijan 2-3 Surkhon Termez
- Mar 16, 2024: Surkhon Termez 2-3 Andijan
- Aug 04, 2023: Andijan 0-0 Surkhon Termez
Surkhon Termez have won three of the last five, so they hold a psychological edge in this fixture.
League Table Positions
Andijan sit 7th in the Super League with 16 points from 11 matches (5W, 1D, 5L, 16:11 goals). At home, they are 4th, collecting 9 points from 5 games (3W, 0D, 2L, 9:4 goals) – a strong home record. Surkhon Termez are 12th with 12 points (3W, 3D, 5L, 11:18 goals). Their away form is not among the league's top eight, indicating struggles on the road.
Win Probability: Andijan or Surkhon Termez?
Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league standings, we calculate the following win probabilities:
- Andijan win: 55%
- Draw: 25%
- Surkhon Termez win: 20%
The odds imply a 57.6% chance for a home win, but Surkhon Termez's strong H2H record (8 wins to Andijan's 4) and recent form slightly reduce the hosts' edge. Andijan's solid home performances and higher league position make them the more likely winner, but the draw is a real possibility given five draws in 17 meetings.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers offer the following 1X2 odds (first bookmaker): Andijan win at 1.63, draw at 3.50, Surkhon Termez win at 6.00. Other bookies show similar lines, with home win odds around 1.57–1.63. The odds clearly point to Andijan as the favorite. Our prediction: based on the stats, Andijan are expected to win, but the value might be in the draw considering the H2H history. A 1-1 or 2-1 scoreline is plausible.
Andijan vs Surkhon Termez — FAQ
- Who will win Andijan vs Surkhon Termez?
- Based on our analysis, Andijan has a 55% chance of winning, a draw has a 25% probability, and Surkhon Termez has a 20% chance. Andijan's home advantage and better league position make them favorites, but Surkhon Termez's strong head-to-head record keeps the match competitive.
- What is the win probability for Andijan?
- Andijan has a 55% win probability. This is derived from bookmaker odds (implied 57.6%), adjusted for their solid home form (3 wins in 5 home games) and Surkhon Termez's historical success in this fixture.
- When is the Andijan vs Surkhon Termez match?
- The match is on Jul 18, 2026, at 15:00 local time. It is a Super League (Uzbekistan) fixture, held at Bobur Arena in Andijan.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The 1X2 odds from one bookmaker are: Andijan win 1.63, draw 3.50, Surkhon Termez win 6.00. Odds vary slightly across bookmakers, but all show Andijan as the clear favorite.
- What is the head-to-head record between Andijan and Surkhon Termez?
- In 17 meetings, Andijan have won 4, Surkhon Termez 8, and 5 ended in draws. Surkhon Termez have won three of the last five encounters, including a 4-0 victory in October 2025.