ASC Riadh - Amitie FC prediction 3 February 2026

The Amitie FC vs ASC Riadh prediction for the Mauritania Division 2 match on February 3, 2026, at 16:00 UTC points to a home advantage for Amitie FC. Based on head-to-head dominance and the home factor, Amitie FC has a 45% win probability, while ASC Riadh sits at 30% and the draw at 25%. This preview breaks down team form, H2H record, and win chances to help you decide who will win.

Team Form

Amitie FC come into this match with a mixed recent run: D, L, W, L, L in their last five outings. That single victory was a 5-1 away thrashing of FC Oasis on April 30, but three defeats and a goalless draw with Oslo FA Dakar highlight inconsistency. Defensively they have conceded in four of those five matches.

ASC Riadh’s last five results read W, L, L, W, D. They beat Star Arafat 1-0 away on May 21 and edged FC Oasis 2-1 at home on April 25. However, losses to FC Ways (1-2) and Brakna FC (1-3) show vulnerability on the road. Their form is slightly better than the hosts, with two wins in five compared to Amitie FC’s one.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Amitie FC. In two previous meetings, both played at ASC Riadh’s ground, Amitie FC won 3-1 on each occasion (February 3, 2026, and March 23, 2025). That gives Amitie FC a perfect 2-0-0 H2H record, with six goals scored and only two conceded. ASC Riadh have yet to take a point off their opponents.

Win Probability: Amitie FC or ASC Riadh?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Amitie FC 45%, draw 25%, ASC Riadh 30%. This estimation is based on the head-to-head sweep by Amitie FC, home advantage, and the teams’ recent form. Although ASC Riadh have a slightly better last-five record, the historical matchup and the fact Amitie FC are playing at home tilt the balance. The 45% chance for a home win reflects the strong H2H trend, while ASC Riadh’s 30% acknowledges their capability to snatch a result. The draw at 25% is a realistic outcome given both sides’ inconsistent form.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds are available for this fixture at the time of writing. Based on the stats, Amitie FC are the favorites to win. The head-to-head record suggests they know how to beat ASC Riadh, and playing at home should give them an edge. Our match prediction is a home win, but with caution due to Amitie FC’s recent struggles. A 1-0 or 2-1 scoreline in favor of Amitie FC appears the most likely outcome.