Annecy - Amiens prediction 16 January 2026

The Amiens vs Annecy prediction for this Ligue 2 encounter on January 16, 2026, points towards an away win, with Annecy carrying a 55% chance of victory based on form, league positions, and head-to-head balance. Amiens will host at 19:00 hoping to snap a dreadful losing streak, but Annecy arrive as the clear favourite.

Team Form

Amiens are in disastrous form, losing their last five competitive matches. The sequence includes a 2-4 friendly defeat against Paris 13 Atletico, a 0-5 thrashing at Saint Etienne, a 1-3 home loss to Red Star FC 93, a 0-2 home reverse to Montpellier, and a 2-3 loss at Rodez Aveyron. They have conceded 17 goals in those five games, averaging more than three per match.

Annecy, by contrast, have been much more consistent. Their last five results show only one defeat (1-2 at home to Rodez Aveyron), alongside three wins and a draw: a 2-1 win at Boulogne, a 5-1 home thrashing of Pau, a 5-1 demolition of Nancy away, and a 0-0 draw with Montpellier. That kind of attacking output makes them a potent threat against a leaking Amiens defence.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last five meetings between Amiens and Annecy, the record is evenly balanced with two wins apiece and one draw. The most recent clash, on this same day in 2026, saw Annecy win 2-0 at home. Amiens’ two victories both came at home (1-0 in January 2025 and 1-0 in January 2024), while the draw was a 1-1 result in October 2023. Interestingly, no away team has won in the four meetings where a home side was clearly designated, suggesting a slight home bias historically—but Amiens’ current form makes that trend unreliable.

League Table Positions

Annecy sit 7th in the Ligue 2 table with 52 points from 34 matches, having scored 49 goals and conceded 39. They are especially strong on the road, ranking 5th in the away standings with 25 points from 17 away games (8 wins, 1 draw, 8 losses). Amiens, on the other hand, are not even in the top 12—meaning they are struggling in the lower reaches of the division. The gap in quality is significant and adds weight to the prediction that Annecy will dominate.

Win Probability: Amiens or Annecy?

Calculating the chances from all available data—team form, head-to-head record, league positions, and home/away factor—we arrive at the following outcome probabilities:

• Amiens win: 20%
• Draw: 25%
• Annecy win: 55%

Annecy’s superior form, higher league rank, and strong away performances (ranking 5th in away games) give them a clear edge. Amiens’ five-game losing run and defensive frailties make an upset unlikely, even with home advantage. A draw is a reasonable possibility given the evenly matched H2H history, but the most probable scenario is an Annecy victory.

Odds & Match Prediction

No specific bookmaker odds are available in the data for this fixture. Nonetheless, the statistics heavily favour Annecy. They are the form side, the higher-placed team, and have already beaten Amiens this season. The final Amiens vs Annecy prediction is an away win, with Annecy likely to score at least two goals against a fragile Amiens backline.