America Propria SE - Desportiva Aracaju SE prediction 31 January 2026

The America Propria SE vs Desportiva Aracaju SE prediction for the Campeonato Sergipano match on January 31, 2026, points to a home win. Based on the stats, America Propria SE has a 55% chance to win, while Desportiva Aracaju SE faces an uphill battle. This preview breaks down team form, head-to-head record, league table positions, and win probabilities to help you make an informed betting decision.

Team Form

America Propria SE comes into this match with a mixed but resilient recent record. Their last five results are L, D, D, W, D. They suffered a narrow 1-0 loss to Itabaiana SE, drew twice with Sergipe SE (1-1 both times), secured an impressive 3-0 away win against Lagarto SE, and drew 1-1 with CEFAT Tirol CE in the Cup. This run shows they are hard to beat, with only one defeat in five outings.

Desportiva Aracaju SE, on the other hand, is in poor form. Their last five matches read L, L, L, L, D. They lost 2-0 to Falcon SE, 3-1 to Lagarto SE, 2-1 to AA Guarany SE, and 2-0 to Sergipe SE, before a 0-0 draw in the reverse fixture against America Propria SE. With four losses and just two goals scored in those five games, their attacking struggles are evident.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides is limited to a single meeting. That match, played on January 31, 2026, ended in a 0-0 draw. So the H2H stands at 0 wins for America Propria SE, 1 draw, and 0 wins for Desportiva Aracaju SE. The lack of goals in that encounter suggests a tight contest could be on the cards again.

League Table Positions

In the Campeonato Sergipano standings, America Propria SE sits 6th with 12 points from 9 games (2 wins, 6 draws, 1 loss). They have scored 8 goals and conceded 8, highlighting their defensive solidity but lack of cutting edge. At home, they have played 5 matches, winning 2, drawing 2, and losing 1, with a goal difference of 6:6.

Desportiva Aracaju SE is rooted to the bottom of the table in 10th place, with only 2 points from 9 games (0 wins, 2 draws, 7 losses). They have scored just 5 goals and conceded 17, the worst defensive record in the league. Their away form is not listed in the top eight, underlining their struggles on the road.

Win Probability: America Propria SE or Desportiva Aracaju SE?

After analyzing all available data, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• America Propria SE win: 55%
• Draw: 30%
• Desportiva Aracaju SE win: 15%

America Propria SE is the clear favorite. They are 6th in the league, have lost only once all season, and enjoy home advantage. Their recent form (one win, three draws, one loss) is far superior to Desportiva’s four defeats in five. The only head-to-head meeting was a draw, which keeps the draw probability relatively high at 30%. Desportiva Aracaju SE’s winless league campaign and poor goal difference make an away victory highly unlikely. Based on the stats, America Propria SE is the team most likely to win, but a draw is a realistic alternative.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ odds are not available in the provided data, but based on the team stats, America Propria SE would be priced as strong favorites. The significant gap in league positions, home advantage, and contrasting form all point to a home win. Our America Propria SE vs Desportiva Aracaju SE prediction is a victory for the home side, with a draw as the next most probable outcome. A low-scoring affair is expected, given both teams’ recent goal records.