Alloa Athletic - Clyde prediction 11 November 2025

Our Alloa Athletic vs Clyde prediction for the Challenge Cup match on November 11, 2025, points to a home win, with Alloa Athletic holding a 65% chance of victory. The game kicks off at 19:45 local time, and the hosts come into the fixture as clear favorites based on recent performances and their superior head-to-head record at home.

Team Form

Alloa Athletic's recent form shows a mixed but positive trend, with three wins and two losses in their last five outings (L, W, W, L, W). They secured a 5-0 friendly victory against Civil Service Strollers and a 2-1 Championship win at Airdrieonians, though they suffered a 3-0 friendly loss to Livingston. Overall, they have scored 8 goals in their last three wins, indicating capable attacking play.

Clyde, on the other hand, are in a terrible run of form. Their last five results read L, L, L, L, D – four defeats and a single draw. They have lost friendlies to Rutherglen (3-1), Queens Park (3-1), and Dunfermline (2-1), and fell 4-3 to Hamilton Academical in League 1. The 1-1 draw against Hamilton in the previous match is their only positive result in this stretch. Defensive frailties have been a major issue, conceding 13 goals in those five games.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record slightly favors Clyde, who have won 8 away matches compared to Alloa Athletic’s 6 home wins, with 2 draws. However, recent meetings paint a different picture. In the last four encounters between the sides, Alloa have won twice (2-1 and 3-1 at home) and drawn twice, including the most recent Challenge Cup clash that ended 4-4. Clyde have not beaten Alloa in any of the last five meetings, underscoring the hosts’ dominance in this fixture.

Win Probability: Alloa Athletic or Clyde?

After analyzing the available data, we assign the following win probabilities for this match: Alloa Athletic – 65%, Draw – 20%, Clyde – 15%. These percentages are based on current form, head-to-head trends, and the home advantage at Recreation Park. Alloa’s three wins in their last five games, combined with Clyde’s winless streak and defensive struggles, make the home side the clear favorite. The draw retains a reasonable chance given the recent 4-4 result and the fact that two of the last four meetings ended level.