Torre del Mar - Alhaurino prediction 5 April 2026

The Alhaurino vs Torre del Mar prediction for the Tercera Federacion match on April 5, 2026 points towards the away side. Torre del Mar has a 50% win probability, making them the clear favorite in this encounter. Here is our detailed analysis, including team form, head-to-head record, and match prediction.

Team Form

Alhaurino come into this match with mixed recent results. In their last five outings, they have recorded two wins, two losses, and one draw (D, W, L, W, L in chronological order). Their most recent match was a 1‑1 draw at home against Atletico Mancha Real on May 10, 2026. Before that, they beat Arenas Armilla 1‑0 away, lost 2‑0 at Torreperogil, thrashed Atletico De Porcuna 3‑0 at home, and lost 1‑0 at Torre del Mar in the reverse fixture.

Torre del Mar’s last five games show one win, two draws, and two losses (L, L, W, D, D). They were beaten 1‑0 at home by Arenas Armilla on May 24, 2026, and lost 1‑0 away at Arenas Armilla a week earlier. They did secure a 2‑1 home win over Motril on April 26, and drew 1‑1 with El Palo and 0‑0 with UD San Pedro. Overall, Torre del Mar’s form has been slightly more inconsistent but they remain hard to beat on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record firmly favors Torre del Mar. In three previous meetings, Torre del Mar have won twice and drawn once; Alhaurino have never won. The most recent clash was the reverse fixture on April 5, 2026, when Torre del Mar won 1‑0 at home. On November 23, 2025, the teams drew 1‑1 at Alhaurino. The oldest encounter, on October 31, 2021, saw Torre del Mar win 3‑1 away. Across these three matches, Torre del Mar have scored five goals and conceded two. This historical dominance is a key factor in today’s Alhaurino vs Torre del Mar prediction.

League Table Positions

Unfortunately, neither Alhaurino nor Torre del Mar appear in the provided top‑12 overall standings for the Tercera Federacion. Therefore, a direct comparison of league positions, points, or goal differences is not possible from the available data. This lack of table information shifts the weight of the Alhaurino vs Torre del Mar prediction onto form and head‑to‑head statistics.

Win Probability: Alhaurino or Torre del Mar?

After analyzing all available stats, we calculate the following win probabilities:

• Alhaurino win: 20%
• Draw: 30%
• Torre del Mar win: 50%

This probability split is based primarily on the head-to-head record, where Torre del Mar are unbeaten in three meetings (2 wins, 1 draw). Alhaurino are the nominal home side, but playing at Estadio Juan Manuel Azuaga – located in Torre del Mar – may provide the away team with a familiar environment, further reducing any home advantage. Recent form is broadly similar for both sides, but Torre del Mar’s historical edge gives them a clear statistical advantage. The conclusion: Torre del Mar has a 50% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Alhaurino has a 20% chance.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmaker odds for this match are not available in the data feed. Nevertheless, our Alhaurino vs Torre del Mar prediction based on statistics suggests Torre del Mar are the more probable winner. With a 50% win chance and an unbeaten head-to-head run, the smart money would be on an away victory. A draw cannot be ruled out (30% probability), but Alhaurino’s 20% win chance makes betting on a home upset a risky proposition. Always remember that betting on football carries risk, and these probabilities are derived solely from past performance data.