AFC Fylde - Alfreton Town prediction 14 February 2026

The Alfreton Town vs AFC Fylde prediction for the National League North match on February 14, 2026, points to a clear favorite. Based on our analysis of team form, head-to-head record, and league standings, AFC Fylde has a 55% chance of winning, while Alfreton Town sits at 20% and the draw at 25%.

Team Form

Alfreton Town's recent results show inconsistency. In their last five matches, they recorded one win, three draws, and one loss (D, L, D, W, D). Notable results include a 3-3 home draw against Curzon Ashton on April 25 and a 3-2 away win at Marine on April 18. Friendly defeats to Notts County (0-5) and a goalless draw with Burton Albion complete the picture of a side struggling for momentum.

AFC Fylde, on the other hand, have been more decisive. Their last five matches yielded three wins and two losses (L, W, W, L, W). They thrashed Southport 4-0 at home on April 18 and beat Merthyr Town 4-2 away on April 25. A narrow 1-0 loss at Chester and a 3-2 friendly defeat to Blackpool are the only blemishes in an otherwise strong run.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors AFC Fylde. In the last nine meetings, Alfreton Town have failed to win a single match (0 wins), with AFC Fylde claiming 7 victories and 2 draws. The most recent league encounters saw AFC Fylde win 1-0 at Alfreton Town in November 2025 and 2-0 at home in November 2022. This dominance underlines the gap between the sides.

League Table Positions

AFC Fylde finished the season as champions of the National League North, topping the overall table with 100 points from 46 games (32 wins, 4 draws, 10 losses). They scored 112 goals and conceded only 51. Alfreton Town are not even in the top 12 of the standings, highlighting a significant quality gap. AFC Fylde also topped both the home and away tables, proving their strength regardless of venue.

Win Probability: Alfreton Town or AFC Fylde?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Alfreton Town 20%, draw 25%, AFC Fylde 55%. This assessment is based on the inverse of implied odds from bookmaker markets (where available) adjusted for form and stats. In this case, no live odds were provided, so we relied on the massive disparity in league position, head-to-head record, and recent form. AFC Fylde's championship pedigree and 7-0 head-to-head win advantage make them the clear favorite. Alfreton Town's home draws offer some hope of a stalemate, but an upset win is unlikely.

Odds & Match Prediction

Although specific odds are not available in the data, bookmakers would undoubtedly price AFC Fylde as strong favorites. The match outcome prediction aligns with the stats: AFC Fylde are expected to win. Alfreton Town's best chance is to hold out for a draw, but the visitors' firepower should prove decisive. Our final Alfreton Town vs AFC Fylde prediction is an away victory.