Alfaro vs UD Logrones prediction for the Segunda Federacion clash on March 22, 2026, at 16:00 UTC. UD Logrones is the clear favorite with a 55% win probability, backed by superior recent form and a dominant head-to-head record. Alfaro has a 20% chance, while the draw is at 25%.
Alfaro's last five matches: two wins, three losses. They lost 2-0 away to Real Union de Irun and 1-0 at home to SD Logrones, but beat Naxara 2-1 at home and RZ Deportivo Aragon 3-1 at home. A 3-1 away loss to Tudelano highlights inconsistency. Overall, Alfaro has struggled for consistency with only 2 wins from 5.
UD Logrones comes into this match with 4 wins from their last 5 games. Their only recent defeat was a 1-0 away loss to UD San Sebastian Reyes. Before that, they beat Getafe B (2-1 home and 2-0 away) and Ebro (3-0 away). UD Logrones is in strong form, scoring freely and keeping clean sheets in three of those five.
In the last five meetings between Alfaro and UD Logrones, UD Logrones has won 4 times, Alfaro has won once, and there has been 1 draw. The most recent encounter on March 22, 2026, ended 2-0 to UD Logrones. Earlier in the season, Alfaro won 1-0 away. Historically, UD Logrones dominates this fixture with 4 away wins in the head-to-head record, indicating a clear psychological edge.
Based on form, head-to-head record, and home/away performance, the win probabilities are: Alfaro 20%, Draw 25%, UD Logrones 55%. UD Logrones' strong away form (4 wins in last 5) and dominant H2H record (4 wins in 5 matches) heavily tilt the scales in their favor. Alfaro's home form is patchy, and they have lost the last two head-to-head encounters at home. The draw is a plausible outcome given Alfaro's occasional home resilience, but UD Logrones is the most likely winner.
Odds for this match are not available in the data provided. However, bookmakers would likely price UD Logrones as the favorite given their superior form and head-to-head record. Our prediction: UD Logrones to win. They have the momentum and the historical edge, making them the best bet to secure all three points.