Defensa y Justicia - Aldosivi prediction 24 July 2026

Defensa y Justicia vs Aldosivi prediction: this Primera Division match takes place at Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello on Jul 24, 2026, at 00:45 UTC. Based on the statistics and bookmakers' odds, Defensa y Justicia enter the game as marginal favourites, holding a 42% win probability, while a draw is almost equally likely at 40%.

Team Form

Defensa y Justicia come into this fixture in poor form, with their last five results reading L, D, L, L, L. They suffered a 4-1 away defeat to Racing Club Avellaneda in the Cup on Jul 16, a 0-0 draw at Racing Club Avellaneda on May 31, a 2-1 loss at Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza in the league on May 4, a 0-4 home loss to Boca Juniors on Apr 23, and a 3-1 defeat at CA Independiente on Apr 18. That run leaves them winless in five outings.

Aldosivi's recent form is only marginally better: D, L, D, L, D. They drew 1-1 at home with Independiente Rivadavia on May 3, lost 3-1 to River Plate on Apr 26, drew 1-1 at home with Racing Club Avellaneda on Apr 19, lost 1-0 at CA Belgrano de Cordoba on Apr 11, and played a 0-0 home draw against Estudiantes Rio Cuarto on Apr 4. The away side has also failed to secure a win in their last five matches.

Head-to-Head Record

In seven previous meetings, Defensa y Justicia lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Aldosivi's 2, alongside 1 draw. The most recent encounter ended 0-0 on Jan 22, 2026, when Aldosivi hosted. At this venue, the home side has an impressive record: a 2-0 league victory on Jul 22, 2025, and a 3-2 Cup win on Jul 11, 2022. Defensa y Justicia have never lost at home to Aldosivi (two wins).

League Table Positions

The provided Primera Division standings include only the top 12 clubs, and neither Defensa y Justicia nor Aldosivi feature in that group. This indicates both teams are located in the lower half of the table, which is consistent with their recent poor form.

Win Probability: Defensa y Justicia or Aldosivi?

Based on the average pre-match odds (home 1.89, draw 1.96, away 4.46), the implied probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin are: Defensa y Justicia win – 42%, draw – 40%, Aldosivi win – 18%. The probability calculation closely mirrors the odds, with a slight adjustment for the strong home head-to-head record and equally poor recent form for both sides. Consequently, Defensa y Justicia has a 42% chance of winning, the draw is at 40%, and Aldosivi has an 18% chance.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ average odds for the full-time result are: Defensa y Justicia 1.89, draw 1.96, Aldosivi 4.46. These odds highlight that the betting market sees the home side as a narrow favourite but also prices the draw very competitively. Taking into account the team form, the 0-0 stalemate in the last meeting, and the fact that both teams have struggled for wins, a low-scoring contest appears likely. Our prediction: Defensa y Justicia have the edge, but a draw is a very real possibility. A 1-0 home win or a 1-1 scoreline are the most probable outcomes based on the stats.