Alcoyano - CD Atletico Baleares prediction 15 February 2026

Alcoyano vs CD Atletico Baleares prediction for the Segunda Federacion clash on Feb 15, 2026, at 11:00. Based on all available stats, CD Atletico Baleares has a 55% chance of winning, with a draw at 25% and Alcoyano at 20%. The away side’s dominant H2H record and superb current form make them the clear favorite.

Team Form

Alcoyano come into this match with an inconsistent run: D, L, D, W, D in their last five outings. Those results include a 1-1 draw with UD San Sebastian Reyes, a 0-2 home defeat to the same opponent, a 0-0 at Porreres, a 2-0 home win over Sant Andreu, and a goalless draw at Andratx. Only one win in five signals a lack of cutting edge, though they have been tough to beat in three stalemates.

CD Atletico Baleares are flying. Their last five matches read W, W, D, W, W – four wins and a single draw. They beat Real Jaen 1-0 twice, drew 1-1 with Coruxo, hammered Coruxo 3-0 away, and won 1-0 at Espanyol B. With four clean sheets in that period, they’ve shown both defensive solidity and efficient goal-scoring.

Head-to-Head Record

The historical head-to-head heavily favours CD Atletico Baleares. In all meetings, they have 28 wins, 7 draws, and just 1 loss to Alcoyano. The last five encounters have seen CD Atletico Baleares win twice and three draws – including a 0-0 result earlier in this fixture. Alcoyano’s only victory in the series remains a distant outlier, leaving the visitors with a massive psychological edge.

Win Probability: Alcoyano or CD Atletico Baleares?

We calculate the match outcome probabilities strictly from the available data – form, head-to-head, and the home/away factor. The percentages sum to 100%:

• CD Atletico Baleares win: 55%
• Draw: 25%
• Alcoyano win: 20%

The reasoning is straightforward. CD Atletico Baleares’ recent form (W-W-D-W-W) is vastly superior to Alcoyano’s (D-L-D-W-D). In 36 previous meetings, Alcoyano have managed just one win, while the visitors have taken 28 victories. Even with home advantage, Alcoyano’s erratic attack and the visitors’ defensive strength point to an away win being the most likely result. A high draw probability reflects Alcoyano’s recent habit of sharing the points and the fact three of the last five H2Hs ended level.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ 1X2 odds for this match were not available at the time of writing. Nevertheless, the numbers behind the two sides leave little doubt: CD Atletico Baleares are the justified favourite. Our Alcoyano vs CD Atletico Baleares prediction leans towards an away win, with the caveat that a draw cannot be ruled out given Alcoyano’s draw-heavy streak and the 0-0 outcome of the earlier meeting this season. Bettors looking for value may find the Draw result attractive at any price above 3.50, though the safest call remains backing CD Atletico Baleares to secure all three points.