Alcoyano - Castellon B prediction 11 January 2026

The Alcoyano vs Castellon B prediction for January 11, 2026, in the Spanish Segunda Federacion points towards a close contest with the home side Alcoyano holding a slight advantage. Our analysis, based on team form and head-to-head data, gives Alcoyano a 40% probability of victory, while the draw and an away win for Castellon B both sit at 30% each.

Team Form

Alcoyano come into this match with a mixed set of recent results: one win, three draws and one defeat in their last five outings. Defensively they have been solid, keeping three clean sheets, but goals have been hard to come by. Highlights include a 2-0 home win over Sant Andreu and a 1-1 draw away at UD San Sebastian Reyes.

Castellon B, on the other hand, have lost four of their last five matches. Their only win in that run was a 4-2 home success against Girona B, but heavy defeats such as the 0-4 loss to Valencia CF Mestalla and a 1-3 reverse at Barbastro underline their defensive problems. They have conceded 12 goals in their last five fixtures.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides is limited to two previous meetings. The most recent, which is also the match being previewed, ended in a 0-0 draw. The earlier clash took place on September 28, 2025, when Castellon B beat Alcoyano 4-1 at home. So far, Alcoyano have failed to win against Castellon B, with one draw and one loss.

League Table Positions

League table information is not available in the data provided, so we cannot assess the direct impact of standings on this match.

Win Probability: Alcoyano or Castellon B?

Based on the available statistics, we calculate the following win probabilities for this Segunda Federacion match:

• Alcoyano win: 40%
• Draw: 30%
• Castellon B win: 30%

Alcoyano are given the edge thanks to home advantage and a more consistent recent form, with only one loss in five compared to Castellon B's four defeats. However, Castellon B's heavy 4-1 win in the most recent head-to-head meeting shows they have the capability to score goals. The high number of draws in Alcoyano’s recent results (three in five) makes a stalemate a very realistic outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds are not available in the data for this match, so no direct odds comparison can be made. From our analysis, Alcoyano appear to be the most likely winner, but the match is far from a foregone conclusion. With Alcoyano’s draw tendencies and Castellon B’s occasional attacking threat, a tight encounter is expected. Our prediction: Alcoyano win, with a draw as a strong alternative.