The Alcochetense vs CF Vasco da Gama Vidigueira prediction for the Campeonato de Portugal match on February 7, 2026, points to a tight contest. Based on recent form and head-to-head record, Alcochetense have a 40% chance to win, while a draw is at 35% and CF Vasco da Gama Vidigueira have a 25% chance.
Alcochetense come into this match with solid form, recording three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. Their recent results include a 2-1 away win against GD Lagoa, a 1-1 home draw with Clube Oriental de Lisboa, a 1-0 away victory over Alverca B, a 0-1 home defeat to Louletano, and a 2-0 home win against O Elvas CAD. The home side has been strong at both ends, keeping two clean sheets in that run.
CF Vasco da Gama Vidigueira, on the other hand, are struggling badly. They have lost four of their last five matches, with the only point coming from a 0-0 home draw against Portimonense II. Heavy defeats include a 1-4 loss at Juventude Evora, a 2-5 home loss to Louletano, a 0-4 loss at Sintrense, and a 1-4 loss at Atletico Malveira. The away side has conceded 17 goals in these five games, highlighting serious defensive issues.
The only previous meeting between these sides ended in a 2-2 draw on September 14, 2025, in the Campeonato de Portugal. That result suggests little to separate the teams historically, though current form paints a different picture.
After analyzing all available data, we assign the following win probabilities:
Alcochetense are the favorites thanks to their much better recent form and home advantage. The away side's dreadful run and leaky defense make an away win unlikely. However, the head-to-head draw and the fact that Alcochetense have drawn one of their last five keep the draw probability high. Overall, the stats point toward a home victory, but a stalemate cannot be ruled out.
Bookmakers' odds are not available for this fixture. Based purely on the stats, Alcochetense are seen as the more likely winners. Our prediction: Alcochetense to win, but with a draw as a strong secondary outcome. A low-scoring affair is possible given the 0-0 and 2-2 in the head-to-head history.