Fatih Karagumruk - Alanyaspor prediction 16 May 2026

Alanyaspor vs Fatih Karagumruk prediction for the Super League match on May 16, 2026. Based on the latest form and head-to-head numbers, Fatih Karagumruk enter this fixture as the favourites with a 45% win probability. Read on for our full match preview, team form, and betting tips.

Team Form

Alanyaspor go into the match with a mixed run in their last four outings. They beat Kayserispor 3-1 at home, then drew 0-0 away at Antalyaspor, lost 2-3 at home to Samsunspor and suffered a heavy 0-3 cup defeat at Besiktas. That patch gives Alanyaspor a pre-match form string of W, D, L, L.

Fatih Karagumruk have been more consistent, winning three of their last four. They picked up three points at Kocaelispor (0-1), beat Genclerbirligi 1-0 at home, drew 0-0 at Besiktas and only slipped up at home to Eyupspor (1-2). Their form reads W, W, D, L.

Head-to-Head Record

The last five meetings between Alanyaspor and Fatih Karagumruk are tightly contested. In the most recent encounter before this fixture (January 2026, Cup) the sides drew 2-2. Earlier, Alanyaspor won 2-0 in the Super League (December 2025) and recorded a 4-1 cup home victory in February 2025. A 1-1 draw at Fatih Karagumruk in February 2024 completes the recent H2H picture. Excluding the upcoming match, Alanyaspor lead the recent head-to-head with two wins and two draws.

Win Probability: Alanyaspor or Fatih Karagumruk?

We assign the following outcome probabilities based on pre-match form, H2H history, and home advantage for Fatih Karagumruk:

• Fatih Karagumruk win: 45%
• Draw: 28%
• Alanyaspor win: 27%

Fatih Karagumruk’s stronger recent form and the home factor tilt the scales in their favour. Alanyaspor are not without a chance, but their recent inconsistent displays reduce their likelihood of an away victory. The most probable single outcome is a narrow home win.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ odds for this fixture were not available at the time of writing. Based on the stats and form analysis, our prediction leans towards a Fatih Karagumruk victory. The match is expected to be tight, and a 1-0 or 2-1 win for the home side reflects the balance of probabilities.