Acatlan - Alacranes de Durango prediction 15 March 2026

The Alacranes de Durango vs Acatlan prediction for the Liga Premier Serie A match on Mar 15, 2026, points to a home win. Alacranes de Durango enters the game as the favorite with a 55% win probability, while Acatlan faces an uphill battle. Read on for our full betting tips and match preview.

Team Form

Alacranes de Durango's recent form has been mixed but steady. In their last five matches, they recorded one win, three draws, and one loss (D, L, W, D, D). They drew 0-0 with Deportiva Venados, lost 1-2 away to Deportiva Venados, beat Halcones de Zapopan 2-1, drew 0-0 away to Halcones de Zapopan, and drew 1-1 with Atletico Zacatepec. At home, they have been hard to beat, with two draws and a win in their last three outings. Overall, they scored 4 goals and conceded 4 in this period, showing a solid but unspectacular attack.

Acatlan's form is poor. Their last five results are L, L, W, L, D — one win, one draw, and three defeats. They lost 0-4 to Cimarrones de Sonora, 1-3 to Colima, beat UA Zacatecas 4-2, lost 0-3 to Alacranes de Durango, and drew 4-4 away to Reboceros de La Piedad. Defensive frailties have been evident, conceding 14 goals in those five games, an average of 2.8 per match. Their only win came at home against UA Zacatecas, and they have struggled on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

Alacranes de Durango has dominated this fixture. The two previous meetings both ended in wins for Alacranes: a 5-1 home victory on Oct 25, 2025, and a 3-0 away win on Mar 15, 2026. Overall, Alacranes has scored 8 goals and conceded just 1 against Acatlan. The head-to-head record clearly favors the home side, with Acatlan yet to take a point off Alacranes.

League Table Positions

Neither team appears in the top 12 of the Liga Premier Serie A overall standings, suggesting both are mid-to-lower table sides. The league is led by Racing De Veracruz with 66 points from 24 games, while the top 12 teams all have 43 points or more. The absence of Alacranes de Durango and Acatlan from this list indicates they are likely in the bottom half. While exact positions are unavailable, Alacranes' superior head-to-head record and home advantage give them the edge in this matchup.

Win Probability: Alacranes de Durango or Acatlan?

Based on all available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Alacranes de Durango has a 55% chance to win, a draw has a 25% probability, and Acatlan has a 20% chance. This assessment reflects Alacranes' perfect head-to-head record (2 wins in 2 games), home advantage, and slightly better recent form (1W,3D,1L vs 1W,1D,3L). Acatlan's defensive issues and poor results on the road further tilt the balance toward the home side. While a draw is possible given Alacranes' tendency to share points, the most likely outcome is a home victory.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this fixture are not available in our data. However, our analysis strongly favors Alacranes de Durango. The prediction is a home win, with the most likely outcome being a victory for Alacranes de Durango. Based on the stats, a 2-0 or 2-1 scoreline in favor of the home team appears plausible.