Assabah - Al Watan prediction 3 March 2026
Assabah
Al WatanAssabah
Al-MadinaAssabahAbu Salim SCAl Ahli TripoliAssabahAssabahAl WatanAsswehlyAssabahAbu Salim SCAssabahAl WatanAssabahAl WatanAl Qadisiyah Bani WalidAl WatanAl Ahli TripoliAl WatanAl Dhahra TripoliAssabahAl WatanAl-MadinaAl WatanAl WatanAsswehlyAl KhmesAl WatanAl WatanAbu Salim SCAl Ahli TripoliAl WatanAl WatanAssabahAssabahAl WatanAl WatanAssabah| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Ahli Tripoli | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 22:5 | +17 | 22 |
| 2 |  Al-Nasr | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | +15 | 21 |
| 3 |  Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Alexandria | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15:6 | +9 | 19 |
| 4 |  Asswehly | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 15:7 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Military Union | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 10:3 | +7 | 15 |
| 6 |  Al Hilal Omdurman | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 15 |
| 7 |  Alittihad Misurata | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | +7 | 15 |
| 8 |  Al Ta'awon | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |  Al-Akhdar | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | +2 | 13 |
| 10 |  Olympic Azzaweya | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | +6 | 13 |
| 11 |  Al-Madina | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | +2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Al Afriqi Derna SC | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13:9 | +4 | 12 |
| 13 |  Al Ahli Benghazi | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:3 | +5 | 12 |
| 14 |  Al Malaab El Libby | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
| 15 |  Al Sadaqa | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | +4 | 11 |
| 16 |  Al Murooj | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | +1 | 10 |
| 17 |  Khaleej Sirte SC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 18 | Al Watan | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 10 |
| 19 |  Al-Magd | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | +1 | 9 |
| 20 |  Shabab Al Ghar | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 8 |
| 21 |  Al Dhahra Tripoli | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
| 22 |  Al Tahaddy | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 23 | Assabah | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 8 |
| 24 |  Al Tarsana | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 7 |
| 25 |  Al Qadisiyah Bani Walid | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2:11 | -9 | 7 |
| 26 |  Al Wefaq Ajdabiya | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 6 |
| 27 |  Al Shomooa | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
| 28 |  Abu Salim SC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
| 29 |  Al Khmes | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 30 |  Al Anwar Club | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 5 |
| 31 |  Darnes | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
| 32 |  Abi Al Ashar | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
| 33 |  Al Borouq | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:8 | -5 | 4 |
| 34 |  NEOM Sports Club | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:17 | -12 | 4 |
| 35 |  Ittihad Gharyan | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 3 |
| 36 |  Al Andalus | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0:16 | -16 | 0 |
Al Watan vs Assabah Prediction (Mar 03)
Al Watan vs Assabah prediction: On March 3, 2026, Al Watan welcomes Assabah to their home ground for a Libya Premier League fixture. Our analysis suggests Al Watan is the slight favorite, holding a 40% probability to secure a win, while the draw sits at 30% and an Assabah away victory also at 30%.
Team Form
Al Watan’s most recent league match before this fixture was a 2-1 away defeat at Al-Madina on February 21, 2026. That result left them with just one loss in the immediate buildup, but the sample of pre-match form remains limited. Assabah, meanwhile, suffered a 2-1 away loss to Asswehly on January 26, 2026. Both teams entered this contest without a recent win, lacking attacking momentum.
Head-to-Head Record
These two sides have met only once before. On December 30, 2025, Al Watan hosted Assabah in the Premier League, and the match ended in a 0-0 draw. The head-to-head record therefore stands at 1 draw, 0 wins for Al Watan, and 0 wins for Assabah.
League Table Positions
Neither Al Watan nor Assabah appear in the top 12 of the Libya Premier League standings, suggesting both clubs are situated in the lower half of the table. This match is crucial for either team to gain ground on their mid-table rivals.
Win Probability: Al Watan or Assabah?
Based on the available pre-match data—limited form, a draw in the only previous meeting, and home advantage—we estimate the following outcome probabilities: Al Watan win 40%, draw 30%, Assabah win 30%. The home field gives Al Watan a small edge, but the lack of scoring form from both sides and a goalless head-to-head encounter point to a very tight contest.
Odds & Match Prediction
No betting odds were available for this fixture at the time of analysis. Consequently, we cannot present bookmaker prices. Our final Al Watan vs Assabah prediction leans towards a narrow home win, but the numbers highlight a real chance of a draw or even an away upset. A low-scoring affair with fewer than 2.5 total goals seems the most likely scenario.
Al Watan vs Assabah — FAQ
- Who will win Al Watan vs Assabah?
- Based on our analysis, Al Watan has a 40% chance to win, a draw is at 30%, and Assabah holds a 30% probability. Al Watan is the slight favorite due to home advantage.
- What is the win probability for Al Watan?
- Our win probability calculation gives Al Watan a 40% chance. This edge comes from playing at home and the balanced nature of the only previous head-to-head meeting, a 0-0 draw in December 2025.
- When is the Al Watan vs Assabah match?
- The match took place on March 3, 2026, at 21:00 local time in the Libya Premier League.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Betting odds were not available for this fixture. As a result, no bookmaker prices could be included in our analysis.
- What is the head-to-head record between Al Watan and Assabah?
- In their only previous match, Al Watan and Assabah played a 0-0 draw on December 30, 2025, in the Libya Premier League.