Al Nafit Maysan - Al Shorta Bagdad prediction 26 April 2026

Our Al Shorta Bagdad vs Al Nafit Maysan prediction focuses on this Stars League clash on April 26, 2026. Al Shorta Bagdad is the clear favorite, holding a 60% win probability thanks to a dominant head-to-head record and a far superior league position.

Team Form

Al Shorta Bagdad's last five matches show a D, W, L, W, W sequence (three wins, one draw, one loss). Their most recent result was a 0–0 home draw against Al Minaa, but prior to that they recorded away wins at Al Karkh (2–0) and Diyala FC (2–0). At home, they have won three of their last five, including a 1–0 victory over Al Garaf.

Al Nafit Maysan's form reads W, L, W, L, D over the same period. They secured a 2–0 away win at Al Garaf and a high-scoring 5–2 victory at Al Qasim SC, but also suffered defeats to Al Quwa Al Jawiya (0–2) and Kadhimiya SC (0–2). This inconsistency, especially on the road, remains a concern.

Head-to-Head Record

The H2H record heavily favors Al Shorta Bagdad. In their last five meetings, Al Shorta Bagdad won three and drew two, remaining unbeaten. Notably, Al Nafit Maysan have never beaten Al Shorta Bagdad across the recorded encounters. When playing at home, Al Shorta Bagdad have posted two wins and one draw in this fixture, outscoring their opponents 8–4.

League Table Positions

Al Shorta Bagdad currently sits 2nd in the Stars League with 79 points from 37 matches (24 wins, 7 draws, 6 losses). Their home record is especially strong: 14 wins, 2 draws, and only 2 defeats in 18 home games. Al Nafit Maysan are not present in the top 12 of the standings, which suggests a significant gap in squad quality and consistency. The home advantage and table disparity further strengthen Al Shorta Bagdad's case as favorites.

Win Probability: Al Shorta Bagdad or Al Nafit Maysan?

Based on all available data, we assess Al Shorta Bagdad's win probability at 60%, the draw at 25%, and Al Nafit Maysan's chance at 15%. This calculation accounts for Al Shorta Bagdad's excellent home form, a perfect unbeaten H2H record, and their 2nd-place standing compared to an opponent sitting outside the top 12. While football can always produce surprises, the numbers strongly point to a home victory.

Odds & Match Prediction

The main betting market for this fixture is 1X2, but specific odds have not been published in our data. Once available, bookmakers are expected to list Al Shorta Bagdad as a heavy favorite. Our prediction aligns with the stats and probabilities: a home win is the most likely outcome. Backing Al Shorta Bagdad to win outright represents the safest betting angle based on current team form, head-to-head dominance, and the home-field factor.