Al Sadd Doha - Al Markhiya prediction 14 February 2026

Al Sadd Doha vs Al Markhiya prediction for the Stars Cup clash on Feb 14 at 16:15. Based on recent form and head-to-head records, Al Sadd Doha are the clear favourites with a 60% win probability, while the draw stands at 25% and Al Markhiya have just a 15% chance of an upset.

Team Form

Al Sadd Doha

Al Sadd Doha’s last five results: L, W, W, W, D. The most recent outing was a 4-1 loss away to Al Gharafa on May 09. Prior to that, they beat Al Duhail 4-1 and Al Shamal 6-4, both away, before edging Al Shamal 3-2 at home in the Stars League and drawing 3-3 with Vissel Kobe in the AFC Champions League. Three wins in four before the latest defeat show strong underlying form.

Al Markhiya

Al Markhiya’s last five results: W, L, D, L, L. They secured a 3-0 away win at Al Khor on Apr 30, but then lost 2-0 at home to Lusail, drew 1-1 with Al Waab Sports Club, and suffered back-to-back defeats against Al Muaither SC (4-3 home) and again in the Stars Cup (3-2 away). With only one victory in five, their form is poor.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last four completed meetings between these sides, Al Sadd Doha have won three and Al Markhiya one. There have been no draws. At this venue, Al Sadd Doha have posted two comfortable home wins: 5-0 in November 2023 and 1-0 in January 2023. Al Markhiya’s only recent win came in August 2022, a 4-3 thriller away from home. Excluding the fixture being predicted, Al Sadd Doha have scored nine goals and conceded just two in the last four H2H clashes.

Win Probability: Al Sadd Doha or Al Markhiya?

Al Sadd Doha win probability: 60%, draw: 25%, Al Markhiya win: 15%. This calculation is based on form (50% weight), head-to-head record (30%), and home advantage (20%). Al Sadd Doha’s three wins in their last five and a near-perfect H2H record against Al Markhiya justify their strong favourite status. Al Markhiya’s solitary win in five and leaky defence make an away victory highly unlikely. The draw is a realistic safety net given Al Sadd Doha’s occasional off-day.

Odds & Match Prediction

No betting odds are available for this market at the time of writing. Based on the stats, the most likely match outcome is an Al Sadd Doha win. The form, head-to-head dominance, and home advantage all point towards the home side securing all three points. A low-scoring affair is possible, but Al Sadd Doha’s attacking quality should be enough to overcome a struggling Al Markhiya outfit. Prediction: Al Sadd Doha to win.