Al Qadsia - Al Salmiyah prediction 16 June 2026

The Al Qadsia vs Al Salmiyah prediction for this Kuwait Premier League match on June 16, 2026, at 18:45 points to a home win. Based on our analysis of team form, head-to-head record, and league table positions, Al Qadsia are the clear favourites with a 55% win probability. Al Salmiyah will look to cause an upset, but the historical and recent data favours the home side.

Team Form

Al Qadsia's last five matches show a mixed run: D, W, L, L, W. Their most recent outing was a goalless home draw against Al Kuwait SC on Jun 29. Before that, they secured a 2-0 away win at Al Fahaheel, but also suffered two defeats to Kazma (1-2 at home) and Al Arabi Kuwait (0-2 away). The 3-2 win over Al Salmiyah on Jun 16 stands out as a key attacking performance.

Al Salmiyah's recent form reads L, W, W, D, L. They lost 0-3 away to Kazma on Jun 29, but prior to that they beat Al Arabi Kuwait 1-0 and Al Fahaheel 2-1 at home. A 3-3 home draw with Al Kuwait SC on Jun 19 showed their attacking potential, though the 2-3 defeat away to Al Qadsia exposed defensive frailties.

Head-to-Head Record

The all-time head-to-head heavily favours Al Qadsia, who have 18 wins compared to Al Salmiyah's 8, with 8 draws. In the last five meetings, Al Qadsia have won three, Al Salmiyah one, and one ended even. The most recent clash was the 3-2 home victory for Al Qadsia on Jun 16, 2026. Also notable are a 2-1 home win in May 2026 and a 2-1 away win in February 2025 for Al Qadsia. Al Salmiyah's sole recent triumph was a 4-2 away result in April 2025.

League Table Positions

Al Qadsia sit 2nd in the Kuwait Premier League with 32 points from 18 matches (9 wins, 5 draws, 4 losses). Their home form is particularly strong: 6 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, with 23 goals scored and only 7 conceded. Al Salmiyah are 5th with 30 points (8 wins, 6 draws, 4 losses). Away from home, they have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 10 goals and conceding 7. The two-point gap and the home advantage tilt the balance toward Al Qadsia.

Win Probability: Al Qadsia or Al Salmiyah?

Calculating the win probability based on form, H2H, and league positions, Al Qadsia have a 55% chance of winning, a draw is at 25%, and Al Salmiyah have a 20% chance. The home side's dominant H2H record, especially at home (three wins in the last four home meetings), and their strong home stats (19 points from 9 games) justify the favourite tag. Al Salmiyah's decent away record (4-3-2) gives them a 20% upset probability, while a stalemate remains a realistic outcome given the tight league gap.

Odds & Match Prediction

Exact betting odds are not available in the provided data, but based on the statistical model, bookmakers would make Al Qadsia the favourites. The most likely correct score leans towards a 2-1 home victory, mirroring recent encounters. Our final Al Qadsia vs Al Salmiyah prediction: Al Qadsia win.