Al Qasim SC - Al Karkh prediction 28 February 2026

Al Karkh vs Al Qasim SC prediction for the Stars League match on February 28, 2026, at 18:00. Based on the latest form, head-to-head record, and league standings, Al Karkh are the clear favorites with a 65% win probability.

Team Form

Al Karkh's last five results: Draw (1-1 vs Al Talaba), Loss (0-2 vs Al Shorta Bagdad), Win (5-2 vs Al Najaf), Draw (2-2 vs Al Garaf), Win (2-1 vs Amanat Baghdad SC). That's a mixed but decent run with two wins and two draws.

Al Qasim SC's recent form is poor: Draw (0-0 vs Al Mosul), Loss (1-2 vs Al Najaf), Loss (2-5 vs Al Nafit Maysan), Draw (1-1 vs Al Zawraa), Loss (1-2 vs Duhok). They have failed to win in five matches, with three defeats.

Head-to-Head Record

Al Karkh have dominated this fixture. In the last five meetings, Al Karkh have won three and drawn two, with no losses. The most recent encounter ended in a 3-0 away victory for Al Karkh on February 28, 2026. This gives them a huge psychological edge.

League Table Positions

Al Karkh sit 7th in the Stars League with 60 points from 38 games. Al Qasim SC are not in the top 12, indicating a significant gap in quality and league standing. Al Karkh's home form (8 wins, 6 draws, 5 losses) is solid, while the visitors struggle everywhere.

Win Probability: Al Karkh or Al Qasim SC?

We calculate the probabilities as follows: Al Karkh win – 65%, Draw – 25%, Al Qasim SC win – 10%. This is based on Al Karkh's unbeaten H2H run, better recent form, home advantage, and a much higher league position. Al Karkh are clearly the more likely winners.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds are not available for this match, but our analysis points firmly to an Al Karkh victory. Al Qasim SC's poor form and historical struggles against Al Karkh make an away win unlikely. A home win is the most probable outcome.