| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.33 | 3.33 | 3.38 | |
| 2.15 | 2.20 | 3.50 | |
| 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.00 | |
| 2.15 | 2.15 | 3.30 | |
| 2.15 | 2.20 | 3.25 | |
| 2.10 | 2.20 | 3.40 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 53:9 | +44 | 53 | |
| 2 | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 42:10 | +32 | 46 | |
| 3 | 21 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 34:22 | +12 | 40 | |
| 4 | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 31:14 | +17 | 38 | |
| 5 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 30:17 | +13 | 36 | |
| 6 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 29:27 | +2 | 30 | |
| 7 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 22:21 | +1 | 27 | |
| 8 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 12:36 | -24 | 22 | |
| 9 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 16:30 | -14 | 20 | |
| 10 | 21 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 12:26 | -14 | 17 | |
| 11 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8:20 | -12 | 10 | |
| 12 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 4:61 | -57 | 1 |
Our Al Ansar Beirut vs Al Nejmeh prediction for this Premier League clash on July 20, 2026, points to a home victory with a 50% win probability. Al Ansar Beirut enter the match as the league leaders and clear favorites, while Al Nejmeh will look to close the gap in second place.
Al Ansar Beirut are in outstanding form, with four wins and one draw in their last five matches. They scored 18 goals and conceded just 3 in that run, including a 7-0 thrashing of Al Mabarrah and a 3-0 win over Tadamon Sour. The only dropped points came in a 3-3 home draw against Al Ahed.
Al Nejmeh have also been impressive, matching that record with four wins and one draw. They kept four clean sheets in those five games, beating Al Ahed 2-0 away and Racing Beirut 5-0 at home. Their only blemish was a 0-0 draw at Jwaaya FC.
The overall head-to-head record between these two Lebanese giants is perfectly balanced: 5 wins for Al Ansar Beirut, 5 for Al Nejmeh, and 5 draws. In the last five meetings, Al Ansar have won twice, Al Nejmeh once, with two draws. The most recent encounter ended 2-2 on May 21, 2026. Al Ansar’s biggest recent win was a 6-1 away victory in July 2025.
Al Ansar Beirut sit top of the Premier League with 53 points from 21 games (17 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses). They have scored 53 goals and conceded only 9. At home, they have won 9 of 11 matches, losing just twice. Al Nejmeh are second with 46 points (14 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses), with 42 goals scored and 10 conceded. Their away form is solid: 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses from 10 trips.
Based on a detailed analysis of the latest odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league standings, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:
Bookmakers’ odds implied a home win chance of around 43%, but we have adjusted that upward because of Al Ansar’s dominant home record (9 wins from 11) and their seven-point lead at the top of the table. Al Nejmeh are a strong side, but the probability of an away win is just 22%. The draw remains a realistic outcome at 28%, given the history of stalemates in this fixture.
The best available odds for this match vary across bookmakers. You can find home win odds between 1.63 and 2.00, the draw priced from 2.10 to 3.20, and an away win at 2.75 to 4.00. These odds reflect Al Ansar Beirut as the favorites, but the market sees a relatively high chance of a draw.
Our final Al Ansar Beirut vs Al Nejmeh prediction: Al Ansar Beirut to win. With their excellent form, home advantage, and superior league position, they are the most likely winners. However, Al Nejmeh’s defensive solidity means a low-scoring game or a draw cannot be ruled out. For betting tips, backing Al Ansar to win with a -0.5 Asian handicap could offer value.