Al Ansar Beirut - Al Ahed prediction 12 July 2026

The Al Ahed vs Al Ansar Beirut prediction for the Lebanese Premier League match on July 12, 2026, at 14:30 points to an away win, with Al Ansar Beirut holding a 55% probability of victory. Al Ahed enters as the home underdog, while the league leaders look to extend their unbeaten away run.

Team Form

Al Ahed's last five matches show mixed results: D, W, W, L, W. They drew 3-3 away at Al Ansar Beirut, beat Shabab Al Sahel 4-2 and Safa Beirut 4-1 at home, lost 3-1 away to Al Ansar Beirut, and edged Al-Hikma 1-0 at home. That's three wins, one draw, and one loss, with nine goals scored and seven conceded.

Al Ansar Beirut are in superb form with a D, W, W, W, W sequence. After the 3-3 home draw against Al Ahed, they won 3-0 at Tadamon Sour, 7-0 at Al Mabarrah, 3-0 at home to Jwaaya FC, and 3-1 at home to Al Ahed. Four wins and a draw, scoring 19 goals and conceding just 4 in that span, highlight their dominance.

Head-to-Head Record

Overall, the head-to-head record across 22 meetings shows 9 home wins, 7 draws, and 6 away wins. In the last five encounters, Al Ansar Beirut have won three, Al Ahed one, with one draw. The most recent clash on July 12, 2026, ended 3-3. Other recent results: Al Ansar Beirut 3-1 Al Ahed (Jun 20, 2026), Al Ansar Beirut 1-2 Al Ahed (May 12, 2026), Al Ahed 1-5 Al Ansar Beirut (Dec 6, 2025), and Al Ansar Beirut 4-1 Al Ahed (Jun 27, 2025). Al Ansar clearly has the upper hand in recent meetings.

League Table Positions

Al Ansar Beirut sit 1st in the Premier League with 53 points from 21 matches (17 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses). They have scored 53 goals and conceded only 9. Al Ahed are 3rd with 40 points (13 wins, 1 draw, 7 losses), scoring 34 and conceding 22. At home, Al Ahed rank 4th with 19 points from 10 games (6 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses). Al Ansar's away record is perfect: 1st with 26 points from 10 games (8 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses), 29 goals scored and only 3 conceded. The gap in quality and consistency is significant.

Win Probability: Al Ahed or Al Ansar Beirut?

Based on all available data, the win probabilities are: Al Ahed 20%, Draw 25%, Al Ansar Beirut 55%. Al Ansar's unbeaten away record, superior form, and recent head-to-head dominance make them the clear favorite. Al Ahed's home advantage and occasional strong performances give them a chance, but the draw is also a realistic outcome given the last meeting ended level. Overall, Al Ansar Beirut is more likely to win.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds are available for this fixture at the moment. Based on the stats, Al Ansar Beirut is the expected winner. Our Al Ahed vs Al Ansar Beirut prediction is an away win, with a possible scoreline of 1-2 or 1-3, reflecting Al Ansar's attacking strength and Al Ahed's defensive vulnerabilities.