Ordabasy - Aktobe prediction 3 May 2026
Ordabasy
AktobeOrdabasy
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:12 | +18 | 40 |
| 2 |  Kairat Almaty | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 34:12 | +22 | 39 |
| 3 |  Astana | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 25:19 | +6 | 29 |
| 4 |  Okzhetpes Kokshetau | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 22:24 | -2 | 27 |
| 5 |  Yelimay Semey | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24:19 | +5 | 26 |
| 6 |  Ulytau | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 26 |
| 7 | Aktobe | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 22:18 | +4 | 25 |
| 8 |  FK Zhenys | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 21 |
| 9 |  Atyrau | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 18 |
| 10 |  Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 18 |
| 11 |  Tobol Kostanay | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
| 12 |  Kaisar Kyzylorda | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 13:20 | -7 | 18 |
| 13 |  Kaspiy Aktau | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 15:22 | -7 | 17 |
| 14 |  Altay | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 |
| 15 |  Kyzylzhar | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 17:25 | -8 | 15 |
| 16 |  Irtysh Pavlodar | 17 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 14:22 | -8 | 11 |
Aktobe vs Ordabasy Prediction (May 03, 2026)
The Aktobe vs Ordabasy prediction for May 03, 2026, points to a tight Kazakhstan Premier League contest where league leaders Ordabasy hold a slight edge. Our analysis gives Ordabasy a 40% win probability, with Aktobe at 30% and the draw at 30%.
Team Form
Aktobe come into this match with three wins and two losses in their last five outings. They beat Zhetysu Taldykorgan 2-1 and Astana 2-0 at home, and also defeated FC Altai Oskemen 2-0, but suffered away defeats to Astana (3-2) and Zhetysu (1-0).
Ordabasy have been in stronger form, winning four of their last five. Their only blip was a 3-2 loss at Kaspiy Aktau. Otherwise, they recorded wins over Ulytau (1-0 home and 1-0 away), Kaspiy Aktau (2-0 home), and Yelimay Semey (3-1 away).
Head-to-Head Record
The overall H2H record is perfectly balanced: 9 wins for Aktobe, 9 for Ordabasy, and 11 draws. In the last five meetings, each side has one win with three draws. The most recent clash saw Ordabasy win 2-0 at home in May 2026.
League Table Positions
Ordabasy sit top of the Premier League with 40 points from 17 matches (12 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss). Aktobe are 6th with 25 points from 16 games (7 wins, 4 draws, 5 losses). At home, Aktobe are strong – 2nd in the home table with 23 points from 10 games (7 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss). Ordabasy are 2nd in the away table, collecting 17 points from 8 trips (5 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss).
Win Probability: Aktobe or Ordabasy?
Based on all available data, the win probabilities are: Aktobe 30%, Draw 30%, Ordabasy 40%. Ordabasy’s superior league position and recent form give them the edge, but Aktobe’s excellent home record and the historically even H2H keep the match finely balanced. A draw is a very realistic outcome.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers’ odds are not yet available for this fixture. When they appear, Ordabasy are expected to be priced as slight favourites. Our prediction leans towards an Ordabasy win, but with a high chance of a stalemate. A 1-1 draw or a narrow 1-0 away victory are the most likely scorelines based on the stats.
Aktobe vs Ordabasy — FAQ
- Who will win Aktobe vs Ordabasy?
- Ordabasy are the slight favourites with a 40% win probability, while Aktobe have a 30% chance and the draw is at 30%. The match is expected to be close.
- What is the win probability for Ordabasy?
- Ordabasy have a 40% chance to win. This is based on their 1st-place league position, strong away form (5 wins in 8 games), and four wins in their last five matches.
- When is the Aktobe vs Ordabasy match?
- The match is on May 03, 2026, at 15:00. It is a Kazakhstan Premier League fixture.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Odds are not currently available. Once bookmakers release them, Ordabasy are likely to be the favourites given their league standing.
- What is the head-to-head record between Aktobe and Ordabasy?
- In 29 meetings, Aktobe have 9 wins, Ordabasy 9, and there have been 11 draws. The most recent match ended in a 2-0 win for Ordabasy.