Aigle Noir - Bumamuru prediction 21 February 2026
Aigle Noir
BumamuruAigle Noir
RukinzoVital'OAigle NoirRoyal Vision 2026Aigle NoirBurundi Sport DynamicAigle NoirLe Messager NgoziAigle NoirAigle NoirFlambeau CentreAigle NoirBumamuruRukinzoAigle NoirBG Green FarmersAigle NoirAigle NoirMusongatiVital'OAigle NoirInter StarAigle NoirAigle NoirBG Green FarmersNgozi City FCAigle NoirFlambeau CentreAigle NoirBumamuruRukinzoBG Green FarmersBumamuruBumamuruMuzingaAcademy UbumweBumamuruGarage FCBumamuruBumamuruBurundi Sport DynamicMuzingaBumamuruBumamuruFlambeau CentreAigle NoirBumamuruNgozi City FCBumamuruVital'OBumamuruFlambeau CentreBumamuruBumamuruVital'OBumamuruNgozi City FCBumamuruMuzingaAigle NoirBumamuruAigle NoirBumamuruBumamuruAigle NoirBumamuruAigle Noir| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aigle Noir | 29 | 20 | 8 | 1 | 61:25 | +36 | 68 |
| 2 |  Musongati | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 39:21 | +18 | 56 |
| 3 |  Flambeau Centre | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 41:22 | +19 | 55 |
| 4 |  Royal Vision 2026 | 29 | 17 | 2 | 10 | 47:30 | +17 | 53 |
| 5 |  Rukinzo | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 48:27 | +21 | 49 |
| 6 | Bumamuru | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 47:30 | +17 | 49 |
| 7 |  Vital'O | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 44:27 | +17 | 47 |
| 8 |  Muzinga | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 37:38 | -1 | 43 |
| 9 |  Olympic Star | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 36 |
| 10 |  Ngozi City FC | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 37:39 | -2 | 33 |
| 11 |  Kayanza United | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 33 |
| 12 |  Inter Star | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 37:39 | -2 | 32 |
| 13 |  Le Messager Ngozi | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 28:33 | -5 | 30 |
| 14 |  Burundi Sport Dynamic | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 34:55 | -21 | 29 |
| 15 |  Garage FC | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 15:60 | -45 | 18 |
| 16 |  Green Farmers FC | 30 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 25:84 | -59 | 7 |
Aigle Noir vs Bumamuru Prediction (Feb 21)
The Aigle Noir vs Bumamuru prediction for the Burundi Premier League match on Feb 21, 2026, at 13:45 points strongly towards a home victory. Based on league table dominance, recent form, and a flawless head-to-head record, Aigle Noir enters this fixture as the clear favorite with an estimated 65% win probability.
Team Form
Aigle Noir's recent form has been mixed, with results showing L, W, L, D, D in their last five outings. Their most recent match was a 1-0 away loss to Rukinzo in the President's Cup on May 15. Prior to that, they secured a 1-0 away win against Vital'O on May 05, and suffered a 2-1 away defeat to Royal Vision 2026 in the Premier League on Apr 26.
Bumamuru's form reads L, W, L, W, L across their last five matches. They are coming off a heavy 4-0 home defeat to Rukinzo in the Premier League on Apr 26. Before that, they managed a 2-1 away win against BG Green Farmers on Apr 12, but lost 4-0 at home to Muzinga in the President's Cup on Apr 08.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record heavily favors Aigle Noir. In their last 4 meetings, Aigle Noir has won 2, with 2 draws, and Bumamuru has failed to secure a single victory. The most recent clash on Feb 21, 2026, ended in a 2-1 win for Aigle Noir. The previous encounter on Feb 16, 2025, finished 0-0. Bumamuru has never beaten Aigle Noir in this fixture.
League Table Positions
Aigle Noir sits comfortably at the top of the Premier League table in 1st place with 68 points from 29 matches, boasting 20 wins and only 1 loss. Bumamuru is in 6th place with 49 points. At home, Aigle Noir is a fortress, ranked 1st with 12 wins and 2 draws from 14 games, remaining undefeated. Bumamuru's away form is respectable, ranked 5th with 7 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, but the 19-point gap between the sides highlights the gulf in class.
Win Probability: Aigle Noir or Bumamuru?
Calculating the win probability based on form, standings, and head-to-head record, Aigle Noir has a 65% chance of winning. The draw is estimated at 25%, while Bumamuru has just a 10% chance of causing an upset. Aigle Noir's unbeaten home record and historical dominance in this matchup are the primary drivers for the high probability. Bumamuru's inconsistent form and inability to beat Aigle Noir in four attempts make an away win highly unlikely.
Odds & Match Prediction
While specific odds are not available in the data, bookmakers would likely see Aigle Noir as the strong favorite given the statistical evidence. The match prediction is a home win for Aigle Noir. Their superior league position, perfect home record, and positive head-to-head history make them the most probable winner.
Aigle Noir vs Bumamuru — FAQ
- Who will win Aigle Noir vs Bumamuru?
- Aigle Noir is the strong favorite to win. Based on our probability calculation, Aigle Noir has a 65% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Bumamuru has a 10% chance.
- What is the win probability for Aigle Noir?
- Aigle Noir has a 65% probability of winning this match. This high percentage is based on their 1st place league position, an undefeated home record this season, and a head-to-head record where Bumamuru has never beaten them.
- When is the Aigle Noir vs Bumamuru match?
- The match between Aigle Noir and Bumamuru is scheduled for Feb 21, 2026, with a kick-off time of 13:45. It is a Burundi Premier League fixture.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Specific odds for the Aigle Noir vs Bumamuru match are not provided in the current data. However, based on the team's form and league standings, Aigle Noir would be listed as the clear favorite by bookmakers.