Aguilas UAGro - Alebrijes CDMX prediction 27 February 2026

Aguilas UAGro vs Alebrijes CDMX prediction: The Liga TDP clash on Feb 27, 2026, at 21:00 sees Aguilas UAGro as the clear favorite. Based on recent form and home advantage, Aguilas UAGro has a 55% chance to win, while Alebrijes CDMX has only a 20% chance, with a 25% probability of a draw.

Team Form

Aguilas UAGro's last five matches:

• Apr 25: Aguilas UAGro 5-3 Centro De Formacion Chiapas Futbol (W)
• Apr 22: Centro De Formacion Chiapas Futbol 1-1 Aguilas UAGro (D)
• Mar 27: Aguilas UAGro 3-0 Caudillos de Morelos (W)
• Mar 22: Mineros Zacatecas Cdmx 1-3 Aguilas UAGro (W)
• Mar 18: Deportivo Yautepec 3-2 Aguilas UAGro (L)

Alebrijes CDMX's last five matches:

• May 02: CF Pachuca 3 1-0 Alebrijes CDMX (L)
• Apr 11: Aguilas del Valle de Teotihuacan 1-0 Alebrijes CDMX (L)
• Apr 08: Alebrijes CDMX 2-3 Caudillos de Morelos (L)
• Mar 27: Alebrijes CDMX 0-1 Deportivo Muxes (L)
• Mar 21: Centro de Formacion Chaco Gimenez 0-1 Alebrijes CDMX (W)

Overall, Aguilas UAGro have scored 14 goals and conceded 8 in these five games, while Alebrijes CDMX have scored just 3 and conceded 6. The home side's attack looks far more potent.

Head-to-Head Record

These two sides have met only once before, and that encounter ended in a 0-0 draw. That match took place on Feb 27, 2026, in the Liga TDP. With no wins for either team in the head-to-head, the historical data offers little to separate them, but current form heavily favors the home side.

Win Probability: Aguilas UAGro or Alebrijes CDMX?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Aguilas UAGro win – 55%, draw – 25%, Alebrijes CDMX win – 20%. This assessment is based on the teams' recent form, the head-to-head draw, and the home advantage for Aguilas UAGro. The home side's three wins in five games contrast sharply with Alebrijes CDMX's four defeats in the same period. While the only previous meeting was a stalemate, the current momentum makes Aguilas UAGro the more likely winner. Additionally, Aguilas UAGro's goal difference of +6 in their last five matches versus Alebrijes CDMX's -3 further supports the probability distribution. The draw retains a 25% chance because of the defensive nature of the previous encounter and the possibility of a low-scoring affair.

Aguilas UAGro vs Alebrijes CDMX Prediction & Odds

Bookmakers' odds for this fixture are not available at the time of writing. However, our analysis points to a home win. Aguilas UAGro's attacking form, with 11 goals scored in their last five matches, suggests they can break down an Alebrijes CDMX defense that has kept just one clean sheet in five. We predict a 2-0 victory for Aguilas UAGro, but a low-scoring draw cannot be ruled out given the previous 0-0 result. Although no betting odds are currently listed, our prediction model suggests a home win is the most likely outcome. The 55% implied probability would equate to decimal odds around 1.82 if bookmakers were to offer lines. For those looking for betting tips, backing Aguilas UAGro to win and under 2.5 goals could be a sensible approach given Alebrijes CDMX's scoring struggles.

In summary, Aguilas UAGro vs Alebrijes CDMX prediction points to a home victory. The form guide, head-to-head record, and home advantage all align in favor of Aguilas UAGro. While a draw is a live possibility, the visitors' poor run makes an away win unlikely.