AFC Totton - Worthing prediction 21 March 2026

Our AFC Totton vs Worthing prediction answers who will win this National League South match on March 21, 2026, at 15:00. Worthing enters as the favorite with a 60% win probability based on their league title and dominant head-to-head record, while AFC Totton has a 20% chance to win and a 20% chance of a draw.

Team Form

AFC Totton's last five results: D, L, W, W, W. They ended their season with a 2-2 draw against Sutton United in a Friendly Clubs match on Jul 11, 2026. Before that, they lost 1-6 at home to Farnborough but did secure three straight National League South wins over Eastbourne Borough (3-2 away), Bath City (2-1 home), and Dorking Wanderers (2-1 home).

Worthing's last five results: W, L, W, W, W. They finished strongly with a 2-0 home win over Ebbsfleet United on Apr 25, 2026. The only recent blemish was a 1-2 loss at Maidstone United, but big wins over Dagenham & Redbridge (7-2), Dorking Wanderers (2-1 away), and Eastbourne Borough (2-1) show their quality.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met twice, both times in the National League South. Worthing has won both encounters convincingly. The most recent meeting was this exact fixture on Mar 21, 2026, where Worthing won 3-0 away. Earlier in the 2025-26 season, on Nov 11, 2025, Worthing won 4-0 at home. The aggregate score across the two matches is 7-0 in Worthing's favor.

League Table Positions

Worthing finished the National League South season as champions with 84 points from 46 games (25 wins, 9 draws, 12 losses), scoring 99 goals and conceding 52. Their away record was 6th best (32 points from 23 games).

AFC Totton finished 12th with 66 points (20 wins, 6 draws, 20 losses), scoring 60 goals and conceding 79. At home, they were 7th best with 46 points from 23 games. The 18-point gap between these sides reflects the gulf in class over the full season.

Win Probability: AFC Totton or Worthing?

Based on the available data, we calculate the match outcome probabilities as follows:

• Worthing win: 60%
• Draw: 20%
• AFC Totton win: 20%

This assessment heavily weights Worthing's perfect head-to-head record (2-0-0, aggregate 7-0), their league championship status, and superior overall form. AFC Totton's solid home record (7th in the league) prevents a more extreme probability split, but Worthing's quality and psychological edge from two dominant wins this season make them the clear favorite to win.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this match are not currently available in the data. However, bookmakers would likely price Worthing as strong favorites given the championship gap and 7-0 aggregate H2H scoreline. AFC Totton's home advantage and three wins in their last five matches provide some case for a closer contest, but the historical dominance is difficult to ignore.

Our final AFC Totton vs Worthing prediction: based on the stats, Worthing is the justified favorite with a 60% chance to win. The most likely outcome is an away victory, continuing their perfect record against AFC Totton.