Montreal Roses Women - AFC Toronto Women prediction 23 July 2026

The Montreal Roses Women vs AFC Toronto Women prediction for July 23, 2026, in the Northern Super League Women sees the league leaders as clear favorites. Based on form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, Montreal Roses Women has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and AFC Toronto Women has a 20% chance.

Team Form

Montreal Roses Women enter this match with inconsistent recent results. Their last five matches show a win, two draws, and two losses (W, L, D, D, L). At home, they most recently beat Halifax Tides Women 1-0 on July 12, but suffered a 1-2 defeat to Ottawa Rapid FC Women on June 25 and a 2-3 loss to Vancouver Rise Women on May 30.

AFC Toronto Women's recent form is also mixed, with two losses, a win, and two draws (L, L, W, D, D). Their last two matches were both home defeats: 0-3 against Vancouver Rise Women on July 18 and 1-2 against Ottawa Rapid FC Women on July 11. However, they did secure an away win at Vancouver Rise Women on June 28, scoring three goals.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met twice before, both times with AFC Toronto Women as the home side. Montreal Roses Women hold the edge with one win and one draw. The most recent encounter on June 13, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw. Earlier, on May 10, 2026, Montreal Roses Women won 1-0 away. AFC Toronto Women are yet to beat Montreal Roses Women.

League Table Positions

Montreal Roses Women sit top of the Northern Super League Women table with 13 points from 6 matches (4 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). They have scored 13 goals and conceded 6. AFC Toronto Women are 4th with 7 points from 5 matches (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses), scoring 8 and conceding 5. Notably, Montreal Roses Women have the best away record in the league, while AFC Toronto Women have struggled at home, earning just 1 point from 2 home games.

Win Probability: Montreal Roses Women or AFC Toronto Women?

Montreal Roses Women has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and AFC Toronto Women has a 20% chance. This calculation is based on the available form data, head-to-head record, and league standings. Montreal Roses Women's top position, unbeaten head-to-head record, and the fact they are playing at home give them a significant advantage. AFC Toronto Women's poor recent form and historical struggles against this opponent reduce their chances.

Odds & Match Prediction

No specific odds are available in the data for this match. Based on the stats, Montreal Roses Women are the expected winners. Their league-leading position and superior head-to-head record make them the most likely victors. However, with both teams showing inconsistent form, a draw is a realistic possibility. AFC Toronto Women face an uphill battle to secure their first win against Montreal Roses Women.