AFC Leopards SC - Shabana FC prediction 1 March 2026

Kenya · Premier LeagueFinished
AFC Leopards SC
5:1
Mar 01, 2026
FT
Shabana FC
Match Info
CompetitionPremier League · Kenya
Start dateMar 01, 2026
Kick-off13:00
Recent Form
AFC Leopards SC
L
L
W
W
W
Shabana FC
L
D
W
L
D
Recent matches · AFC Leopards SC
Premier LeagueMay 31
AFC Leopards SC
Bidco United
12
L
Premier LeagueMay 24
Aps Bomet FC
AFC Leopards SC
21
L
Premier LeagueMay 16
Kakamega Homeboyz
AFC Leopards SC
12
W
Premier LeagueMay 13
Ulinzi Stars
AFC Leopards SC
02
W
Premier LeagueMay 09
AFC Leopards SC
Mara Sugar
21
W
Premier LeagueApr 26
AFC Leopards SC
Gor Mahia
01
L
Premier LeagueApr 18
AFC Leopards SC
Kenya Police FC
03
L
Premier LeagueApr 05
Muranga Seal
AFC Leopards SC
02
W
Premier LeagueMar 29
AFC Leopards SC
Kariobangi Sharks
10
W
Premier LeagueMar 22
AFC Leopards SC
Tusker
10
W
Premier LeagueMar 18
AFC Leopards SC
Nairobi United
10
W
Premier LeagueMar 14
Mathare United
AFC Leopards SC
41
L
Premier LeagueMar 01
AFC Leopards SC
Shabana FC
51
W
Premier LeagueFeb 26
Kenya Commercial Bank
AFC Leopards SC
10
L
Premier LeagueFeb 21
AFC Leopards SC
Posta Rangers
21
W
Recent matches · Shabana FC
Premier LeagueMay 31
Shabana FC
Kenya Commercial Bank
12
L
Premier LeagueMay 24
Sofapaka
Shabana FC
11
D
Premier LeagueMay 17
Bidco United
Shabana FC
01
W
Premier LeagueMay 13
Mara Sugar
Shabana FC
10
L
Premier LeagueMay 09
Shabana FC
Ulinzi Stars
00
D
CupMay 02
Shabana FC
Kenya Police FC
01
L
Premier LeagueApr 25
Shabana FC
Kenya Police FC
00
D
Premier LeagueApr 18
Shabana FC
Kakamega Homeboyz
10
W
Premier LeagueApr 05
Nairobi United
Shabana FC
30
L
Premier LeagueMar 29
Shabana FC
Muranga Seal
10
W
Premier LeagueMar 21
Gor Mahia
Shabana FC
21
L
Premier LeagueMar 15
Shabana FC
Kariobangi Sharks
12
L
Premier LeagueMar 01
AFC Leopards SC
Shabana FC
51
L
Premier LeagueFeb 25
Mathare United
Shabana FC
01
W
Premier LeagueFeb 21
Shabana FC
Tusker
10
W
Odds
Full Time Result
Head-to-Head · summary
2
AFC Leopards SC
2
Draws
1
Shabana FC
Previous meetings
Premier LeagueMar 01
AFC Leopards SC
Shabana FC
51
Premier LeagueOct 29
Shabana FC
AFC Leopards SC
12
Premier LeagueMar 16
AFC Leopards SC
Shabana FC
11
Premier LeagueNov 27
Shabana FC
AFC Leopards SC
21
CupOct 01
AFC Leopards SC
Shabana FC
11
League Standings
#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Gor Mahia33209450:21+2969
2AFC Leopards SC33197743:26+1764
3ASC Police331315530:20+1054
4Shabana FC331410934:32+252
5Nairobi United331311943:34+950
6Kakamega Homeboyz331212946:36+1048
7Kenya Commercial Bank331291234:36-245
8Mara Sugar331014929:28+144
9Bandari33917726:25+144
10Muranga Seal331281340:40044
11Tusker331351526:31-544
12Aps Bomet FC3311101236:34+243
13Posta Rangers339131131:39-840
14Ulinzi Stars331081533:37-438
15Mathare United331081530:35-538
16Kariobangi Sharks337141224:33-935
17Bidco United334121717:39-2224
18Sofapaka333102019:45-2619
Champions LeagueEuropeRelegation

AFC Leopards SC vs Shabana FC Prediction (Mar 01)

Our AFC Leopards SC vs Shabana FC prediction for the Premier League match on March 1, 2026, at 13:00 favors second-placed AFC Leopards SC. Based on league standings, recent form, and home advantage, AFC Leopards SC has a 55% chance to win, with the draw at 25% and Shabana FC at 20%.

Team Form

AFC Leopards SC

AFC Leopards SC enter this match on a three-game winning streak. Their last five results show two early losses followed by three consecutive wins, indicating a strong turnaround. Key recent matches:

  • May 31: AFC Leopards SC 1-2 Bidco United (L)
  • May 24: Aps Bomet FC 2-1 AFC Leopards SC (L)
  • May 16: Kakamega Homeboyz 1-2 AFC Leopards SC (W)
  • May 13: Ulinzi Stars 0-2 AFC Leopards SC (W)
  • May 9: AFC Leopards SC 2-1 Mara Sugar (W)

Shabana FC

Shabana FC’s form has been inconsistent with one loss, one draw, one win, one loss, and one draw in their last five outings. They have struggled to string together consecutive positive results.

  • May 31: Shabana FC 1-2 Kenya Commercial Bank (L)
  • May 24: Sofapaka 1-1 Shabana FC (D)
  • May 17: Bidco United 0-1 Shabana FC (W)
  • May 13: Mara Sugar 1-0 Shabana FC (L)
  • May 9: Shabana FC 0-0 Ulinzi Stars (D)

Head-to-Head Record

In their last four competitive meetings, the sides have been evenly matched. AFC Leopards SC won once, Shabana FC won once, and two games ended in draws.

  • Oct 29, 2025: Shabana FC 1-2 AFC Leopards SC
  • Mar 16, 2025: AFC Leopards SC 1-1 Shabana FC
  • Nov 27, 2024: Shabana FC 2-1 AFC Leopards SC
  • Oct 1, 2023: AFC Leopards SC 1-1 Shabana FC (Cup)

Total goals scored: AFC Leopards SC 5, Shabana FC 5. The history points to a close contest, but AFC Leopards SC’s recent superiority in the league table gives them an edge.

League Table Positions

AFC Leopards SC sit 2nd in the Premier League with 64 points from 33 matches (19 wins, 7 draws, 7 losses). Their home form is the best in the division: 1st in the home standings with 33 points from 16 games (10 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses).

Shabana FC occupy 4th place with 52 points (14 wins, 10 draws, 9 losses). On the road they rank 5th with 27 points from 17 away matches (7 wins, 6 draws, 4 losses). The 12-point gap and dominant home record underline AFC Leopards SC’s advantage.

Win Probability: AFC Leopards SC vs Shabana FC Prediction

We calculate the outcome probabilities as follows:

  • AFC Leopards SC win: 55%
  • Draw: 25%
  • Shabana FC win: 20%

The reasoning leans heavily on league positions (2nd vs 4th), home advantage (AFC Leopards SC are the top home side), and recent form (three straight wins for the hosts). Shabana FC’s inconsistent results and marginally weaker away form reduce their chances, though their resilient away record (only 4 losses in 17 games) keeps a draw plausible. Overall, AFC Leopards SC are the clear favorite to take all three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

No specific odds are provided in the data, but bookmakers would likely set AFC Leopards SC as favorites given their superior statistics. Our prediction aligns with that assessment: an AFC Leopards SC victory looks the most probable outcome. Bettors should consider the home win as the primary pick, while the draw offers a safety net given Shabana’s occasional away stubbornness.

AFC Leopards SC vs Shabana FC — FAQ

Who will win AFC Leopards SC vs Shabana FC?
Based on our analysis, AFC Leopards SC has a 55% chance to win, the draw is 25%, and Shabana FC has a 20% chance. The home side is the favorite due to their strong home form and recent winning streak.
What is the win probability for AFC Leopards SC?
AFC Leopards SC has a 55% win probability. They are second in the league, top of the home table, and have won their last three matches, making them the likely winner.
When is the AFC Leopards SC vs Shabana FC match?
The match is on March 1, 2026, kicking off at 13:00 local time. It is a Kenyan Premier League fixture.
What are the odds for the match?
Specific odds are not available in the data, but bookmakers would likely set AFC Leopards SC as the favorite, with odds reflecting their higher win probability.
What is the head-to-head record between AFC Leopards SC and Shabana FC?
In their last four meetings, AFC Leopards SC won once, Shabana FC won once, and there were two draws. Goals are evenly split 5–5, indicating a historically balanced rivalry.
AFC Leopards SC – Shabana FC · match page