| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 63:17 | +46 | 61 | |
| 2 | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 49:22 | +27 | 53 | |
| 3 | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 36:22 | +14 | 53 | |
| 4 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 53:24 | +29 | 51 | |
| 5 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 45:27 | +18 | 45 | |
| 6 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 48:26 | +22 | 43 | |
| 7 | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 23:31 | -8 | 34 | |
| 8 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 31:38 | -7 | 33 | |
| 9 | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 23:33 | -10 | 32 | |
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 26:36 | -10 | 28 | |
| 11 | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 28 | |
| 12 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 23:48 | -25 | 26 | |
| 13 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 25:44 | -19 | 23 | |
| 14 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 5:67 | -62 | 1 |
The AEL Limassol vs Ethnikos Achnas prediction for the 1st Division match on Mar 22, 2026, points to a home-favored contest. Based on our analysis of team form, head-to-head record, and league positions, AEL Limassol has a 45% chance of winning, the draw sits at 30%, and Ethnikos Achnas has a 25% chance.
AEL Limassol have struggled recently, with just one win in their last five outings (W, L, D, L, L). They beat Akritas Chlorakas 2-1 away on May 15, but suffered home defeats to Olympiakos Nicosia (1-3) and Anorthosis Famagusta (0-1), along with a 1-1 draw at Krasava ENY Ypsonas and a 3-1 Cup loss at Pafos FC.
Ethnikos Achnas have also been inconsistent, recording two wins and three losses in their last five (L, W, L, W, L). They lost 1-2 at home to Omonia Aradippou, won 3-1 at Enosis Neon Paralimni, lost 0-1 at Akritas Chlorakas, beat Olympiakos Nicosia 2-1 at home, and fell 1-3 at Krasava ENY Ypsonas.
The overall H2H record heavily favors AEL Limassol: 14 home wins, 6 draws, and only 3 away wins for Ethnikos Achnas across 23 meetings. In recent league clashes, AEL won 1-0 at Ethnikos in January 2026, drew 2-2 at home in September 2025, and lost 2-0 at Ethnikos in May 2025. A friendly in August 2025 saw AEL win 3-1 away.
AEL Limassol sit 8th in the overall 1st Division table with 33 points from 26 matches (10 wins, 3 draws, 13 losses). Ethnikos Achnas are outside the top 12 in the overall standings but rank 7th in home form. AEL’s away form places them 8th, with 16 points from 13 road games.
We calculate the win probabilities as follows: AEL Limassol 45%, Draw 30%, Ethnikos Achnas 25%. This assessment is based on AEL’s historical H2H dominance at home (14 wins in 23 meetings), the home advantage, and Ethnikos’s lower overall league standing. However, both teams’ poor recent form and AEL’s three losses in their last five matches introduce uncertainty, making a draw a realistic outcome.
Bookmakers’ odds are not available in our data for this fixture. Based on the stats, AEL Limassol are the likely winners, but the value may lie in the draw given both sides’ inconsistent performances. Our AEL Limassol vs Ethnikos Achnas prediction is a narrow home win, with a 1-1 draw as a strong alternative.