Fiorentina - AEK Athens prediction 27 November 2025
Fiorentina
AEK AthensFiorentina
AtalantaJuventusFiorentinaFiorentinaGenoaAS RomaFiorentinaFiorentinaSassuoloLecceFiorentinaFiorentinaCrystal PalaceFiorentinaLazioCrystal PalaceFiorentinaHellas VeronaFiorentinaFiorentinaInter MilanRakow CzestochowaFiorentinaCremoneseFiorentinaFiorentinaRakow CzestochowaFiorentinaParmaGroningenAEK AthensVitesse ArnhemAEK AthensDe GraafschapAEK AthensAEK AthensOlympiacos PiraeusPAOK ThessalonikiAEK AthensAEK AthensPanathinaikosPanathinaikosAEK AthensAEK AthensPAOK ThessalonikiAEK AthensRayo VallecanoRayo VallecanoAEK AthensOlympiacos PiraeusAEK AthensAEK AthensKifisiasAEK AthensCeljeAtromitosAEK AthensCeljeAEK Athens- Albert Gudmundssonforward
- Cher Ndourmidfielder
- David De Geagoalkeeper
- Edin Dzekoforward
- Fabiano Parisidefender
- Hans Nicolussi Cavigliamidfielder
- Luca Ranieridefender
- Marin Pongračićdefender
- Niccolò Fortinimidfielder
- Pietro Comuzzodefender
- Rolando Mandragoramidfielder
- Amir Richardson
- Eddy Kouadio
- Eman Kospo
- Jacopo Fazzini
- Luca Lezzerini
- Mattia Viti
- Moise Kean
- Nicolò Fagioli
- Pablo Mari
- Roberto Piccoli
- Simon Sohm
- Tommaso Martinelli
- Aboubakary Koitaforward
- Filipe Relvasdefender
- Harold Moukoudidefender
- Lazaros Rotadefender
- Luka Jovićforward
- Mijat Gačinovićmidfielder
- Orbelin Pinedamidfielder
- Roberto Pereyramidfielder
- Răzvan Marinmidfielder
- Stavros Piliosdefender
- Thomas Strakoshagoalkeeper
- Alberto Brignoli
- Salvador Zini
- Angelos Angelopoulos
- Christos Kosidis
- Domagoj Vida
- James Penrice
- Konstantinos Chrysopoulos
- Marko Grujic
- Petros Mantalos
FiorentinaAEK AthensAEK Athens vs Fiorentina Prediction (Nov 27)
Our AEK Athens vs Fiorentina prediction for the UEFA Conference League match on November 27, 2025, at 20:00 UTC. Based on recent form and head-to-head record, AEK Athens is the slight favorite with a 45% win probability. The match takes place at Stadio Artemio Franchi in Florence.
Team Form
AEK Athens come into this match unbeaten in their last five outings (W2 D3). They recorded a 2-1 home win over Panathinaikos and a 3-0 victory against PAOK Thessaloniki, while drawing 1-1 with Olympiacos Piraeus and PAOK away, plus a 0-0 stalemate at Panathinaikos. The Greek side has been solid defensively, keeping two clean sheets in that run.
Fiorentina's recent form is less convincing: one win, three draws, and one defeat in their last five matches. The lone victory was a 2-0 success at Juventus, but they were thrashed 4-0 by AS Roma and held to goalless draws by Genoa and Sassuolo. A 1-1 home draw with Atalanta completed the sequence. The Italian outfit has struggled for consistency, especially on the road.
Head-to-Head Record
These teams have met only once before. In that encounter, AEK Athens claimed a 1-0 away win against Fiorentina. The sole goal decided the match, giving the Greek club a psychological edge going into this fixture.
Win Probability: AEK Athens or Fiorentina?
After analyzing the available data, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:
- AEK Athens win: 45%
- Draw: 30%
- Fiorentina win: 25%
AEK Athens' unbeaten streak, home advantage (despite the venue being in Florence), and the head-to-head victory make them the more likely winner. Fiorentina's erratic form and heavy defeat to Roma reduce their chances. However, the draw probability is significant given both teams' tendency to share points recently.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers' odds for this match are currently unavailable. Based on the stats, our AEK Athens vs Fiorentina prediction leans towards a home win or a draw. AEK Athens to win is the most probable single outcome, but a double chance bet on AEK Athens or Draw could offer value. Fiorentina's quality cannot be dismissed, but their recent performances suggest they will struggle to take all three points.
AEK Athens vs Fiorentina — FAQ
- Who will win AEK Athens vs Fiorentina?
- AEK Athens has a 45% chance of winning, while Fiorentina has a 25% chance. The draw is rated at 30%. Based on form and head-to-head record, AEK Athens is the most likely winner.
- What is the win probability for AEK Athens?
- AEK Athens has a 45% win probability. This is based on their five-match unbeaten run, the head-to-head victory over Fiorentina, and Fiorentina's inconsistent away form.
- When is the AEK Athens vs Fiorentina match?
- The match is on November 27, 2025, at 20:00 UTC. It is a UEFA Conference League fixture being played at Stadio Artemio Franchi in Florence.
- What are the odds for AEK Athens vs Fiorentina?
- Odds for this match are not available at the moment. Check back closer to kickoff for the latest betting lines from bookmakers.
- What is the head-to-head record between AEK Athens and Fiorentina?
- The teams have met once before, with AEK Athens winning 1-0 away at Fiorentina. There have been no draws in this fixture so far.