Hearts of Oak - Aduana Stars prediction 10 May 2026

Our Aduana Stars vs Hearts of Oak prediction for the Ghana Premier League match on May 10 sees the home side as slight favourites with a 45% winning probability. The two teams are separated by just one point in the table, but head-to-head history and home advantage tip the scales towards Aduana Stars.

Team Form

Before this fixture, Aduana Stars's last league outing ended in a 2-0 defeat away to Basake Holy Stars on May 6. That result halted any momentum they may have built, but they return to home soil where they have generally been solid. Hearts of Oak, in contrast, are unbeaten in their last two matches before this clash: a 0-0 home draw with Karela FC on May 6 and a 1-0 away win at Nations FC on May 3. Their away form has been a standout feature all season.

Head-to-Head Record

The historical record strongly favours Aduana Stars. In the last 10 meetings, Aduana have won 6, with 3 draws and only 1 Hearts of Oak victory. The most recent encounter before this match was a goalless draw on December 21, 2025, at Aduana’s ground. Earlier that year, Aduana won 2-0 at home, underlining their typical dominance over Hearts at this venue.

League Table Positions

Going into the match, Hearts of Oak sat 3rd with 51 points from 33 games, while Aduana Stars were 4th with 50 points. Despite the narrow points gap, there is a notable contrast in away and home strength: Hearts of Oak boast the league’s best away record with 26 points from 17 trips, whereas Aduana Stars’ home form (34 points from 17 games) was solid but not among the top eight in the division. This adds an intriguing dynamic to the fixture.

Win Probability: Aduana Stars or Hearts of Oak?

We calculate the outcome probabilities as follows: Aduana Stars win 45%, draw 30%, Hearts of Oak win 25%. The percentages are derived from the head-to-head record (Aduana winning 60% of all H2Hs, 6 of 10), the home advantage factor, and the current league positions. Hearts’ outstanding away numbers keep them in contention, but the long history of Aduana dominating this fixture at home pushes the hosts ahead as the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

No specific odds were available at the time of writing. Typically, bookmakers would have priced this match competitively given the close league table. Based purely on the statistics, our match prediction is a low-scoring affair where Aduana Stars have a slight edge. Hearts of Oak have conceded only 13 goals all season, so a 0-0 or narrow 1-0 result in favour of the hosts looks the most probable outcome. Betting tips: considering the defensive strength of both sides, under 2.5 total goals could be an attractive market.