| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 46:23 | +23 | 34 | |
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 37:24 | +13 | 33 | |
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 32:23 | +9 | 31 | |
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 33:24 | +9 | 30 | |
| 5 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 32:25 | +7 | 30 | |
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 31:16 | +15 | 29 | |
| 7 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 29:23 | +6 | 25 | |
| 8 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 25 | |
| 9 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:33 | -15 | 16 | |
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 21:37 | -16 | 16 | |
| 11 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 19:40 | -21 | 11 | |
| 12 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 17:47 | -30 | 11 |
Our Adelaide Victory vs Modbury Vista prediction for the South State League match on Sep 13, 2025, gives Adelaide Victory a 60% chance to win, with the draw at 20% and Modbury Vista at 20%. Adelaide Victory are the clear favourites based on league standing and head-to-head record, but Modbury Vista’s recent form adds danger.
Adelaide Victory’s last five results read D, W, L, L, W – a mix of inconsistency. They drew 0-0 away at The Cove FC, beat Adelaide Blue Eagles 4-0 at home, lost 1-3 at home to Adelaide Raiders, fell 1-4 at Fulham United, then edged Cumberland United 2-1 at home. At home in the league they have a 5-1-3 record, scoring 22 and conceding 9, which underlines their strength at their own ground.
Modbury Vista enter the match with W, W, W, L, W from their last five outings. That run includes dominant home wins over Salisbury Inter (3-1), Elizabeth Downs (6-1), Port Adelaide Pirates (5-1) and Elizabeth Grove (3-2), and a narrow 0-1 away loss at Salisbury Inter. Their attacking output has been high, but the step up in opposition quality poses a real test.
These teams have met only once, and Adelaide Victory came out on top with a 2-0 victory. That meeting provides a psychological edge for the home side, though a single fixture is a limited sample.
Adelaide Victory sit 4th in the overall South State League standings with 30 points from 17 matches (9 wins, 3 draws, 5 losses). Modbury Vista are not in the top 12, indicating a much lower position. The gulf in league status makes Adelaide Victory the stronger outfit on paper.
Without odds data, we estimate the win probabilities from form, league positions, head-to-head record and home advantage. Adelaide Victory have a 60% chance of winning. The draw is rated at 20%, and Modbury Vista have a 20% chance. Adelaide Victory’s higher league ranking and home record outweigh Modbury Vista’s eye-catching recent run, but the visitors’ four wins in five show they cannot be written off.
No fixed odds are available from the data, but bookmakers would typically side with the higher-placed team. Based on the stats, Adelaide Victory are the more likely winner. Our prediction is a home victory, but expect a competitive contest given Modbury Vista’s scoring form.