Adelaide University Women - Campbelltown City Women prediction 18 July 2026

The Adelaide University Women vs Campbelltown City Women prediction for the NPL South Australia Women match on July 18, 2026, points to an away victory. Based on our analysis, Campbelltown City Women have a 50% chance of winning, while Adelaide University Women sit at 20% and the draw is at 30%.

Team Form

Adelaide University Women come into this fixture with inconsistent results. In their last five matches, they have recorded two wins and three losses. The wins came against MetroStars Women (2-1) and Flinders United Women (4-0), but they suffered defeats to West Adelaide Women (0-3), Salisbury Inter Women (1-2), and Adelaide Comets Women (0-3). Over that period, they scored 7 goals and conceded 9, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.

Campbelltown City Women, on the other hand, are in excellent form. They have won four of their last five outings, including an 8-0 demolition of Flinders United Women, a 5-1 victory over FFSA NTC Women, and clean-sheet wins against West Adelaide Women (1-0) and West Torrens Birkalla Women (2-0). Their only recent setback was a 0-2 loss to Salisbury Inter Women. With 16 goals scored and just 3 conceded in those five games, they are clearly the form side.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record favours Adelaide University Women, who have 5 wins to Campbelltown City Women's 1, with 2 draws. However, recent meetings have been more balanced. The last encounter, on April 17, 2026, ended in a 0-0 draw. Before that, Campbelltown City Women thrashed Adelaide University Women 6-0 in June 2025, and the two sides played out a 2-2 draw in April 2025. Adelaide's last win in this fixture was a 6-0 home victory in May 2022. The history suggests that while Adelaide have traditionally dominated, Campbelltown have closed the gap significantly.

Win Probability: Adelaide University Women or Campbelltown City Women?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Campbelltown City Women 50%, draw 30%, Adelaide University Women 20%. These percentages are derived from the betting odds (home 4.33, draw 2.63, away 1.95), which imply a 45.6% away win chance after removing the bookmaker margin. We then adjusted upward for Campbelltown's superior recent form (four wins in five) and downward for Adelaide's poor defensive record, while still giving weight to Adelaide's historical H2H edge and home advantage. The draw remains a realistic outcome given the 0-0 stalemate in their most recent clash.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced Campbelltown City Women as clear favourites. The best available odds are 1.95 for an away win, 2.63 for the draw, and 4.33 for a home win. These odds reflect the visitors' strong form and Adelaide's struggles. Our prediction is a Campbelltown City Women victory, but with a note of caution: the last meeting was a goalless draw, and Adelaide University Women have historically performed well in this fixture. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is an away win, but a low-scoring draw cannot be ruled out.