Erzurum Buyuksehir - Adana Demirspor prediction 14 February 2026

Our Adana Demirspor vs Erzurum Buyuksehir prediction for the Turkish 1st League clash on February 14, 2026, strongly favors the visitors. Based on all available data, Erzurum Buyuksehir holds a 70% win probability, while Adana Demirspor has just a 10% chance, with a draw at 20%.

Team Form

Adana Demirspor are in disastrous form, losing their last five matches in the 1st League. They have conceded 22 goals in those five games, scoring only 3. Recent heavy defeats include an 8-1 loss at Istanbulspor and a 6-0 loss at Boluspor. At home, they were beaten 1-3 by Umraniyespor and 1-6 by Igdir Belediyespor, showing no defensive resilience.

Erzurum Buyuksehir, on the other hand, are unbeaten in their last five league outings, recording two wins and three draws. They drew 1-1 away at Corum Belediyespor and Bodrumspor, and beat Boluspor 2-0 at home. This contrast in momentum is a key factor in the prediction.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Erzurum Buyuksehir. In the last eight meetings across all competitions, Erzurum have won five, Adana Demirspor two, with one draw. The most recent league encounter on September 20, 2025, saw Erzurum win 3-0 at Adana's ground. The aggregate goalscoring trend shows Erzurum outscoring Adana 16–5 in those matches, underlining their dominance.

League Table Positions

Erzurum Buyuksehir sit top of the 1st League with 81 points from 38 matches, having won 23, drawn 12, and lost only 3. They boast the best away record in the division: 11 wins, 5 draws, and just 3 defeats, scoring 31 and conceding only 15. Adana Demirspor are not even in the top 12 of the standings (based on provided data), indicating a likely bottom-half position. The massive gap in points and goal difference underscores Erzurum's superiority.

Win Probability: Adana Demirspor or Erzurum Buyuksehir?

Taking into account the overwhelming form difference, head-to-head record, league positions, and the match venue (Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu, Erzurum), Erzurum Buyuksehir are clear favorites. We calculate the outcome probabilities as follows: Erzurum Buyuksehir win – 70%, Draw – 20%, Adana Demirspor win – 10%. Erzurum's consistent performances and Adana's defensive collapses justify this strongly skewed distribution. A home upset is highly unlikely based on the stats.

Odds & Match Prediction

No specific 1X2 odds are provided in the data, but bookmakers would heavily price Erzurum as favorites, likely around 1.20-1.30 for an away win, with Adana at double-digit odds. Based on the stats, our final prediction is an away victory for Erzurum Buyuksehir. Given Adana's leaky defense (conceding at least three goals in each of their last five matches), over 2.5 total goals is a strong secondary betting tip.