Charlestown Azzurri Women - Adamstown Rosebud Women prediction 25 July 2026

The Charlestown Azzurri Women vs Adamstown Rosebud Women prediction for July 25, 2026, points towards a closely contested NPL NSW Women fixture. Based on our win probability analysis, Adamstown Rosebud Women enter as slight favorites with a 39% chance of winning, while Charlestown Azzurri Women hold a 34% probability, and the draw is at 27%.

Team Form

Charlestown Azzurri Women's recent form has been inconsistent, recording one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches (W, D, L, D, L). Their most recent outing was a heavy 6-0 defeat away to Maitland Women on July 19. Prior to that, they secured a 2-0 win at Lake Macquarie City Women on June 10.

Adamstown Rosebud Women also show mixed form with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five (W, L, W, L, D). They played out a 0-0 draw at New Lambton Women on July 18. A standout result was their 3-0 home victory against Broadmeadow Magic Women on June 19.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Charlestown Azzurri Women, who have 5 wins and 4 draws from 9 meetings, with Adamstown Rosebud Women yet to record a victory. The last two encounters, in May and March 2026, both ended in 2-2 draws. Charlestown's last win was a 2-1 away result in August 2025.

League Table Positions

Specific league table positions and points are not available in the provided data, so a direct comparison of their current standings cannot be made. However, the head-to-head dominance of Charlestown Azzurri Women suggests they have historically been the stronger side in this fixture.

Win Probability: Charlestown Azzurri Women or Adamstown Rosebud Women?

Our calculated win probabilities for this match are: Charlestown Azzurri Women win 34%, draw 27%, Adamstown Rosebud Women win 39%. These percentages are derived from the available bookmaker odds (inverse of odds, normalized to remove margin) and then adjusted based on team form and the head-to-head record. While the odds imply a tight contest, Adamstown's slightly better recent form gives them a marginal edge in the probability model, despite Charlestown's historical dominance in the fixture.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as an open match. The best available odds are: Charlestown Azzurri Women win at 3.10, a draw at 2.58, and an Adamstown Rosebud Women win at 2.38. Based on the stats, this is a difficult match to call with high confidence. Adamstown Rosebud Women appear to have a slight statistical edge according to the win probability model, but Charlestown's unbeaten head-to-head record cannot be ignored. A draw is a very realistic outcome.