Cooks Hill United - Adamstown Rosebud prediction 2 May 2026

The Adamstown Rosebud vs Cooks Hill United prediction for May 02 sees the visitors holding a 40% chance to win. The match kicks off at 06:30 UTC in the NPL NNSW, Australia. Cooks Hill United enter as narrow favourites thanks to superior recent form, but home advantage and a previous head‑to‑head win for Adamstown keep the contest finely balanced.

Team Form

Adamstown Rosebud

Adamstown Rosebud’s last five results have been L, W, D, L, L. They lost 3‑2 to Edgeworth Eagles, beat Kahibah FC 2‑1, drew 1‑1 with Lambton Jaffas, suffered a heavy 5‑1 home defeat to Broadmeadow Magic, and were knocked out of the Australia Cup with a 1‑0 loss at Kahibah FC. That run of one win, one draw and three defeats highlights a lack of consistency, and the 5‑1 loss at home will be a concern.

Cooks Hill United

Cooks Hill United come into this fixture on an unbeaten run of five matches: W, D, D, D, W. They defeated Valentine 3‑1, held Newcastle Olympic to a 0‑0 draw, shared the points with Charlestown City Blues (2‑2) and Weston Workers Bears (3‑3), and recorded an impressive 1‑0 win at Edgeworth Eagles. Two wins and three draws in that sequence show they are tough to beat, and they have scored in four of those five games.

Head‑to‑Head Record

These teams have met twice previously. In the most recent encounter, Adamstown Rosebud won 2‑0 at home in March 2025. Earlier, Cooks Hill United triumphed 1‑0 at their own ground in June 2025. The overall head‑to‑head is perfectly balanced: one home win for each side, no draws. Home advantage has been decisive in both meetings, which could be a positive signal for Adamstown on home soil.

League Table Positions

Cooks Hill United sit 7th in the NPL NNSW with 14 points (4‑2‑6) from 12 matches, while Adamstown Rosebud are 10th with 13 points (3‑4‑6) from 13 outings. The gap is minimal, but Cooks Hill have a game in hand and a slightly better points‑per‑game ratio. At home, Adamstown have taken 8 points from 8 games (2‑2‑4), scoring 10 goals and conceding 14. Cooks Hill’s away form is not detailed, but their overall league position gives them a marginal edge.

Win Probability: Adamstown Rosebud or Cooks Hill United?

Based on the available data we calculate the outcome probabilities as:
Adamstown Rosebud win – 30%, Draw – 30%, Cooks Hill United win – 40%.

The reasoning uses Cooks Hill’s unbeaten run and slightly stronger league standing as the primary factors. However, Adamstown’s home advantage and their previous 2‑0 home win in this fixture prevent the visitors from being heavy favourites. The 40% for Cooks Hill reflects a narrow favourite status, with a draw a very plausible outcome at 30%.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmaker odds are not currently available for this NPL NNSW fixture. With no odds to guide us, the stats point to Cooks Hill United as the likely winners, but the margins are fine. Our match prediction: Cooks Hill United to edge it, yet a draw should not be ruled out as a strong possibility based on the teams’ records.